of Britain's good name abroad, we do not consider that this course
should be pursued.
(2)
Import monitoring
30. This could be exercised by a system of consignment licensing for
cotton textiles from the developing countries, with a limited period
of validity (say 2 months) for each licence. Running totals could be
kept of the quantities licensed of particular categories of cotton
textiles, and action taken, if necessary, to restrict types which
seemed likely to rise to disruptive levels. Under Article 3 of the
Long Term Arrangement, it would be necessary to hold consultations with
the countries supplying the goods concerned; but ing critical
circumstances it is permissible to impose import restrictions while the
consultations take place.
31. The exporting countries' objections to this sytem would be much
less than in the case of course (1); indeed, import monitoring could
be represented as a development of the Crosland formula. There is
however reason to doubt whether restrictions could be introduced
sufficiently quickly in a disruptive situation to alleviate the
situation very significantly. Import monitoring would not apply to the
bulk of arrivals in the first six or eight weeks of 1972, since these
would be goods shipped under quota from Asia in 1971. To form any
assessment of the volume of goods coming in under conditions of
unrestricted trade, it would then be necessary to allow three or four
months to elapse. But if by the summer it had become clear that
action must be taken, it would be difficult to deny entry to the
considerable further quantities (another six or eight weeks arrivals)
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20.
1
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