{
2
be an initial scramble for market shares on the part of suppliers
like Taiwan and Korea which have been held down by the quotas.
We can, however,
We cannot prevent these things from happening.
try to even out the upsurge over as long a period as possible
This spread
and so to minimise the disturbance of the market.
could be achieved:
a. by continuing to enforce the quotas on shipments right
to the end of 1971. For this it will be necessary to
retain import licensing up to, say, 31 March 1972 so
as to keep out goods shipped before the end of 1971
in excess of the quotas. (We would not, of course,
Awal
b.
limit goods shipped; after 1 January 1972.) Without
such an arrangement quotas would effectively break
down some months before the end of this year and the
peak of the first unrestricted imports would occur
two months or so earlier than if the quotas were
enforced to the end;
if we could give the duty relief proposed above. This
would distribute arrivals more evenly by removing the
incentive to CPA shippers to bring forward all their
quota deliveries into 1971. We should also make it
easier for the CPA supplier countries concerned to
accept the tiresome extension of export certification
and import licensing procedures into the first quarter
of next year, which would be necessary to achieve a.
Hong Kong has on its own initiative already asked for
this duty relief.
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