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products is now likely to be so weak that Hong Kong would be obliged either to reject every individual request (assuming the Americans could be induced to make them), or fatally pre-
judice the strength of their defences against a host of
similar weak cases which might thereafter be made out against
them. I think this is a genuine conviction on Hong Kong's
part.
4. You will notice the passing reference in Sir Eugene Melville's letter to the explanation he gave Mr. Long that
Hong Kong's views were now "in line" with ours. No doubt he could hardly say anything else, having just chaired the US/
Hong Kong discussions, but we may be forgiven for expressing
some reservation on this point ourselves. Hong Kong certainly
inclines to the view that they should follow the EEC and UK
suggestion that any problem should be discussed in the GATT.
But there the identity of view between Hong Kong and ourselves
may cease because they go on to talk about the extension of the
CTA to include some or all cotton/MMF blends. No doubt this
heresy as it would certainly have been called not long ago
might suit their purposes better than some other developments.
But I do not know how much support it would attract at this
stage in the Board of Trade or in Commodities Department. I am copying this minute to Mr. Milne.
5. We have certainly not yet asked the Board of Trade about
Hong Kong telegram No. 854. However, I have the idea that
something of an agonising re-appraisal may be going on in the Board of Trade of the policy which was last set out, of course, in the PCO paper (with some dissent on Hong Kong's part). I doubt if the Board of Trade would yet be ready to answer. But
certainly the record by Mr. Jones of some discussions he had
with the GATT Secretariat will have landed with something of
a thud on Mr. S. Stewart's desk. The GATT staff with whom Mr.
Jones had discussions found what was, and may still be, the
Board of Trade attitude towards the extension of non-cotton
restraints incomprehensible. As you know many of us found it
unrealistic ourselves. We ought to consider whether to ask the
Board of Trade where they now stand but my own view is that we
/should
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