TNAG-0123-FCO40-159-Future-of-Hong-Kong-1971 — Page 21

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

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35

Sir Denis Greenhill

Hong Kong:

Long Term Study

Mr. Moreton's office kindly sent the Planning Staff a

copy of his brief for this afternoon's meeting of the Planning

Committee to discuss this subject.

I agree with Mr. Moreton's

suggestions (para. 4 of his minute) for the points which the

Secretary of State might raise in presenting the study to the

Ministerial Committee. Unfortunately, owing to a clerical

error, we failed to send Mr. Moreton one or two additional

points which might be included in the Secretary of State's

brief. I thought it would be convenient if I put them down

on paper before the meeting.

2. The long term paper and its conclusions naturally concen-

trate on British interests and obligations in Hong Kong.

There is no specific section of British interests vis-à-vis

China (trade, protection of British subjects, general political

and strategic interests) nor on the balance between our interests

in China and our interests in Hong Kong nor on possible develop-

ments in Great Power relationships in the fifteen to twenty

years with which the paper deals. In this period China will

emerge as a Super Power with a substantial intercontinental

missile capacity. One result of this over fifteen years or

more could well be significant changes and improvements in

Sino/U.S. relations, especially if the U.S. continues to

follow its increasingly pragmetic line in foreign affairs.

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13.

These

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