TNAG-0123-FCO40-159-Future-of-Hong-Kong-1971 — Page 142

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

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(vi) Events in the Colony: i.e. disorders or economic

distress which directly or seriously damaged Chinese prestige or obliged China to take active steps to fulfil her self-assumed role of "protector" of all those of

Chinese race. (vii)

e.g.

Other developments in the Colony: constitutional advances tending to indicate that Hong Kong might be making progress towards a separate identity, thus making its eventual recovery more difficult. (viii) A breakdown of order in China e.g. as the result

of crisis after the death or removal of Mao could leave

the initiative on Hong Kong in the hands of local militants or of the provincial authorities in Kwantung. (b) Towards maintenance of the status quo

(i) The Colony's economic value to China in British hands: it could have at the best a very limited value

in Chinese hands.

(ii) The Colony's value as a base for subversive propaganda and as an outlet to the Western world. (iii) The Colony is a useful hostage for use against Britain and could possibly be so used against other

countries.

(iv) The administrative embarrassment of taking over a largely sullen population and a complex economy which China could not sustain, with the likely result that a large part of the population would have to be resettled

in China.

(v)

Fear that a take-over might bring unforeseeable international repercussions, particularly a reaction from the United States.

(vi) Chinese morale: Hong Kong is a safety valve for the discontented in South China. If hope of escape was dashed, discontent in that area (always a touchy one for Chinese Governments) might become uncontrollable. (vii) Indifference: to Peking Hong Kong is a small problem in a remote and rather uncivilised corner of China. It can be dealt with at any time (by external pressure). Chou En-lai is reported to have said

recently: "It should not have had to come to the attention of the Prime Minister himself."

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