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and force us to withdraw on their terms. The initiative
would seem to be in our hands only to the extent that:-
(a) the economic value of Hong Kong might be so
important to China that they would be prepared
to treat with us to preserve this so far as
possible after our departure;
(b) the settlement of Hong Kong's future could be
linked with a desire by China for a detente
in its international relations.
84.
H. THE WORST CASE
In the event of a Chinese military attack with the
object of taking over Hong Kong, present instructions (as
embodied in the directive to the Commander, British Forces)
(Take in be" to
slyp)
are that military action should be/
to expose any Chinese
incursion into the Colony with armed force as an act of
In both cases the intention has been that-
aggression". We would not resist to the bitter end, laying
ん
resent for a brief period and then waste to Hong Kong in the process, but would/withdraw before
greatly superior forces. In short we would surrender Hong
an mitial short period of determined
a
Kong with only show of resistance.
85. If as a result of unremitting Chinese pressure on
Hong Kong (short of a military take-over) we were forced
to the point that our position was untenable and that our
administration could not survive without conceding a measure
of influence and control to China, our conclusion is that we
would have to take a unilateral decision to withdraw with all
its attendant difficulties. The timing of such a decision
would be very difficult. If the situation had reached that
point, we would have to accept that the process of withdrawal
would not be easy since it would greatly depend on Chinese
/goodwill,
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