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(b) The press were told on 26 January
(paragraph 6 of Hong Kong telegram No. 153)
that this amphibious exercise was to take
place. It attracted little attention.
But, because of developments in China,
there is an unusually large number of
foreign correspondents in Hong Kong, as
well as a B.B.C. team. It might be
possible to dissuade the British press
from playing up this exercise; but this
is by no means certain, and the foreigners
would write it up as they wished.
(c) The Chinese would in any case know of the
exercise and become aware of its nature.
In commenting on likely Chinese reactions
in his telegram No. 142 (attached),
Hopson
Chargé d'Affai
சே in Poking admits that
it is, at this stage, difficult to say what
these would be, but considers we might get
away with it provided there is no American
participation. However, he gives various
reasons for concluding also that the risk
of a violent Chinese reaction cannot be
excluded. We consider hat there is
a very real risk that the Chinese would
regard a large military exercise of this
nature in Hong Kong at this time as a
military provocation and that, for this
reason alone, they would react vilently to
it. The present extreme phase of the
Cultural Revolution, the recent successful
pressure exerted on the Portuguese in
Macao and the fierce action currently being
taken by the Chinese in Peking against
foreign Embassies and their personnel
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