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xtremely effective.
Tor
But it does not seem at all likely that, the sake of Hong Kong, we could secure the agreement of the Free
France for one would probably refuse
world to mount such an embargo.
There would be other countries who would be
to fall in line. reluctant to join in on the grounds that they do not mix trade with politics. There could in any case be no certainty that economic
If the embargo was isolation/ would drive China to its knees.
Chine.
really effective, Hong Kong would cease to have any economic value to
The risk would be that a China driven in on itself in this way would be a more dangerous and determined neighbour and would not
hesitate to tako over Hong Kong.
7. American Involvement
The Americans make great use of Hong Kong.
It is convenient as
In
a recreational centre for their forces engaged in the Vict-lam war, although it is not indispensible for this purpose since either the
The Americans Philippines or Formosa could serve the same purpose. also use Hong Kong as their major centre for "China watching". this role hong Hong is unique. These two considerations, together with the United States' policy of containing China, make it certain that the Americans would wish us to stay in Hong Kong at least as long as there is a Communist gove.nment in Peking.
8. One of the factors which prevents Chinese military involvement in any neighbouring country (i.e. India or Viet-ham) is the fear of The Chinese leadership American nuclear retaliation against China. appear to be genuinely convinced that the Americans wish to attack Uhina and, despite their propaganda about nuclour weapons being "peper tigers", there is little doubt that they tako seriously the
Although this Tear Loos not threat of a massive nuclear attack.
prevent china from pursuing policies of hostility towards the United States it does a com to prevent them from pushing these policies
It is therefore arguablo to the point direct confrontation.
that the Chinese could be deterred from talling action against ...ong long by the threat of American retaliation against China.
It
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