谱
87
lopy sent to Trench (Cabrior office)
16-11-6
LONG TENI STUDIJ
(DRAFT SECTION P
PROSPECTS FOR A HUGOTLAND SOLINION
It is necessary to mention briefly the
circumstances in which we night ranch a decision to
withdraw from Hong Kong and the major problems that
would arise; and than to consider possible waye in
which we could set about it, including the prospects
for negotiating our withdrawel.
Circumstances of Withdrawal
He might zwnch an entirely voluntary decision that
the beat courne would be to withdraw. This could be
the dose in the following situationsI-
(n) The emergence in Ching of a more modaro
"revisionist" ragine; this, as pointed out in
paragraph 5 of Section D is highly unlikely in the
neer future.
(b) With or without a changed situation in China
ns in (a), a swing of substantial proportions in
Hong Kong Chinese opinion in favour of re-joining
Chins. This night come about in deteriorating
neonomic conditions in Hong Kong) or as a result
of a successful Communist campaign to “cultivate
the masses"; or a combination of both. Tha
emergence in Hong Kong of a generation that has ite
roots only in the Colony possibly militaten against
this; on the other hand, China's growing strength
aoupled with our disengagment st of Sues may lead
in time to a rasigned acceptance of the inevitable
by most of the Colony's population, who will adjust
their attitudes accordingly.
(o) A nevare economic setback for Hong tong or
period of aeonordo stagɛtion, with a clear
TOP RECHAL
/indication
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