1933-03-08 — Page 6

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HONG KONG DAILY PRESS, WEDNESDAY, MARCH 8, 1933.

IN THE YEAR 1954

PROFESSOR MIDDLETON SMITH'S BOLD FORECAST

HEALTH, LEISURE, MATERIAL SECURITY AND WORLD PATRIOTISM

Professor Middleton Emith in his broadcast talk last night spoke with confident optimism of the fume. Reviewing the scien tific achievements of the past twenty-one years he predicted television, air travel for all, better health, longer life and grenter leisure for all, by the time 1884 comes round.

The professor was confident that the paychological revolution would be greater then the material, that we should learn world natriotism and n far wider charity towards each other. every confidence in the rising generation.

THE PROMISE OF SCIENCE

Ho has

of the steam engine will seem al- most insignicant. Imagine the aviator with fuel for a thousand hours in a cartridge the size of a cigaretto and an engine weighing a few pounds in weight. Where will he explore, what will be his fastest speed 7. In my youth we were limit- ed to the earth-now we can. Hy towards the stars. In a century we have jumped from the speed of a horse to that of over seven miles a minute in the air. In twenty- one years we have learnt to travel four times as fast as in 1012. What will wo do twenty-one years hence. But the chemists and the doctors have not been idle. They, too, go accumulating exploring and fucts and figures, They now con- trol the microbes just as the en gincora control electric power. The medicos repair the human machine as easily as a way-side garage me- chanic repairs a car that has broken-down; they even provide you with spare parts Live another twenty-one years and perhaps you may discover that you have cancer and you will not worry. Insulin has come in recent years to cura diabetes. Statistics convince us that our chance of long life has immensely increased in twenty-one

ON

years.

A

Jand

The professor said in part:- civilization; it is the name of a so-

The Transformation, Ours is a world that changes ciety that hopes to show how to rapidly. I do not mean the universo eliminate waste effort and plan doing? Evolving new plants, clear- And the biologists, what are they of many great wandering stare and with scientific method for smoothing the earth of insect pesta, maak. a few little planets; but the world production and the efficient, distri-ing two blades of grass grow where that is made up of inen and womenbution of goods. It means that before was only one, and with the and their actions and reactions. those scientists refuse to accept the co-operation of irrigation experts,

Twenty-one years ago I had never economic theories of ancient Egypt changing the desert into heard of broadcasting and I had as applicable to-day and that they flowing with milk and honey. scarcely heard of Hong Kong. When are evolving a new technique of a cable reached me in London from living. this far-distant island my first re- action was amusement. There was certainly no thought of accepting the invitation to travel 10,000 miles Bo as to live within the unpleasant tropic zone. My professional carn- ings in London were more than the emoluments offered out here. So why go to an out-of-the way place like Hong Kong ↑

Then, suddenly, there camo tho itch of curiousity, "What sort of a place is Hong Kong was a dis. turbing thought wave. If you have had any scientific training at all, you know that once you ask your self a question like that, your fato is sealed. You must try to think! out what it is like.

Twenty-one Years Ago.

To look back over the twenty-one years since I first thought about Hong Kong, is to be atruck by the enormous revolution that has taken place in the poriod. In that short space of time existence for millions of people has become longer, larger, safer, more varied, more full of hope and choice. There is no ex cuse for being dull in these days. Activity. is all around us. There are interests and recreations un- available to other generations.

They believe that poverty and crime can be eliminated as yellow fever was exterminated in Panama, as they feel sure that malaria could be stamped out in Hong Kong, and as they know that vaccination pro- vents small pox if applied in timo They are planning and trying out new suggestions with the weapons provided by science.

"The Lone Dove."

Everywhere the battalions of scientific workers are making life better, creating health and more leisure so rapidly that now there is anxiety last leiapre shall mean idleness, for we know that idlenest leads to deterioration of character It will depend upon how we en- ploy the newly created leisure as to whether these new sources of power are a blessing or a curse to humanity. Being .. confirmed optimist I am sanguine of the fu Our wildest guesses of twenty-ture. Science has not yet brought us to the millen-nium, but each year one years ago were all too modest. No one was bold enough to suggest it has moved us a few steps fur- that a solitary girl could fly over ther away from the other place. mist-clad mountains and shark-in-But unless there is a general fested seas in a few "hops" from average development of nobility of England to Australia. Not one of character in mankind to keep pace us thought in 1912 that within with this amazing march of science twenty-one years we should hear in there must be horrible times ahead.

Leisure should be Hong Kong the King of. England boom, for with it man can develop a priceless addressing the whole world at his talents instead of being limited microphone in London. Nobody out here than thought that there would to some daily irksome grind. be an aerodrome at Kai Tack in

1033,

We can be sure that the scientific developments of the next twenty one years will be greater, more rapid and more amazing then those of the last two decades, because of the new knowledge that accumulates in snow-ball fashion each year.

Television is here; it will be no

Cold in the Tropics. novelty in 1954. Sitting in your Though the steam-clouds inen and armchair, watching a screen artis- machinery have brought to your tically sat as a panel in the wall homes electricity to give you light, of your room, you will see and power and heat. Moro wonderful hear the acts and words of men still, by the use of heat, men and and women as they are performed machinery have produced in the and spoken thousands of miles tropics cold that is cold enough to away. The visible world will be change water into ice. If you will brought into your back parlour; pay for it, any sort of weather can you will have the screen at your now be manufactured for your breakfast table to see and hear allhomes. the news of the world as it hap- pens.

All the King's Horses,

In the past twenty-one years many improvements in motor car construction and design have been made. The latest is automatic gear-.. changing the clutch was always a trial. A child can control these cars: And you can purchase to-day- for £270 a car that £1,970 could not purchase 21 years ago.

In years gone by the only power a man could control was a team of horses or a gang of slaves. To day in an electrical power station there is now concentrated in one machine energy more than could be given

The baby auto has brought health out by 150,000 horses, even if they and pleasure to many thousands were flogged by whip and spur shall we have the baby airplane in and the steam turbine works on, the near future? Experiments with hour after hour, tireless and indif gliders make us hopeful of cheap Terent to externals, in a manner and private air traval. When all unknown in living organinisms. the world is on the wing, life will A shoe-maker in ancient Rome be very different to our experience. took 6 days to make a pair of to-date. But nobody doubts that it shoes. In a modern plant he could will come. make 80 pairs-but for whom? it is-said that if all of the machines for making boots and shoes were worked at full load to-day every one on the earth could have six- new pairs a year! But, there are millions without any shoes because there is not enough money for them to pay for them; and so the m chines are idle men are unemployed and yet shoes are badly needed.

Your air-nail letters reach Lon- don in eleven days, Soon you will be able to travel to London in less than a week,

Flying Pulman cars will criss- cross the skies of Asia at no very distant date. The caravans of the future that will carry you over the Gobi desert will have wings and speed and power.

For 6,000 years a brick-maker "Power Within the Atom, never attained an average of more.

But that is only a beginning. than 450 bricks a day of 10 hours What about these fascinating source per man. A modern plant produce of energy in electrons 1 The scien -400,000 bricks a day per man.tists have no doubt about the energy recent invention has provided a ma- of these electrons, these tiny plausts chine which produces 2,600 cigarettes of a world within the atom-they a minute, replacing one with a hate measured it. And, just as a orevious maximum output of 600 human finger may explode in e per minute. In agriculture one man second a gigantic mine, so may a can do in one hour what it required human thought-wave reveal the 3,000 hours for him to do in 1840. key to this inexhaustible And Tá an automobile plant a total of tromendous source of power. 208 men turna, out 10,000 · chassis. frames per day and 31. miles of pipe line.

A more startling illustration is

An Astonishing Story.

gives a third of a million times 58 Radium heat, we are now told,

in the incandescent lamp industry, great an output as the same amount One man can do to-day as much as of coal used in combustion; a pound it took him 8,000 hours to do so weight could, if we knew how to short a time ago as 1014.

use it, be made to do the work of 150 tons of dynamito:

New Sources of Power.

Waaraon.the edge of a great These immense new scources of discovery-shall we live togam power, and the fact that they have the secret, to see the new machines produced social changes so sudden of pocket size and big horse power? and gigantic, must make us wonder We cannot yet split the atom and about the future.

then chain up the electrons to make We have recently been told that them do our work. But scientists before us lice the age of technocr and inventors are probing the my- acy,But what is tochnocracy. It stery

is a word invented by a number of When that riddle is solved technicians who are employed all changes that have been prodi day in attempting to plan a world four generations by the

The Era of Charity.

The practice of real charity in creases each year. We no longer. publicly impale or burn or break (Uontinued on Page T.)

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THE DAIRY FARM, ICE & COLD STORAGE CO., LTD.

SODA FOUNTAIN open daily until midnight.

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