1923-08-01 — Page 8

GA

BAROGRAPHS

(SELF RECORDING BAROMETERS).

By PASTORELLI & RAPKIN,

LONDON.

GIVES WARNING OF APPROACHING

TYPHOONS.

WEDNESDAY

THURSDAY 24*6 10 10 2,416X (9710"

CHOON

THE HONGKONG DAILY PRESS, WEDNESDAY, AUGUST, Lar, 1933,

CHART SHEWING *YPHOON SECORDED IN SWATOW

On AUGUST 3rd, 1922,

BY ONE OF OUR. BAROGRAPHS

LANE, CRAWFORD, LTD.

HONGKONG.

Hotels

14

TEL. 1741.

JAPAN AND MANCHURIA

Members of Japan Hotel Association

ejo TRAPTIU BUREAU, Dert. of RAILWAYS, TOKYO.

Average Rates for Single Rooms (without Bath) including meals Y. 10-13 in cities and some popular resorts.

Y. B-10 fa country districts.

Chazenji (Nikko)

Lakeside Hotel Kamakura-

Kahin Hotel Karuizawar

Mikasa Hotel Mampoi Hutel Kobe

Oriental Hotel

Tor Hotel

Fazan

IN CHOSEN

Fusan Station Hotel

Keijo (Seoul)-

Chosen Hotel

Shingisha:-

IN JAPAN PROPER

Kyoto-

Kyoto Hotel

Miyako Hotel afatsushima,

Park Hotel Miyajima

Miyajima Hotel Miyanoshita:- Fujiya Hotel Nagasaki

Shingiabu Station Hotel

Japaa Hotel

Nagoya —

Nagoya Hotel Nara

Nara Hotel Nikko:

Kanaya Hotel Nikko Rotol Omori:-

Omori Hotel

Osaka-

Osaka Hotel

IN TAIWAN (FORMÓSA)

Taikoku :-Taiwan Railway Hotel

Changchan-

Yamato Hotel Dairon-

Yamato Hotel

Shimokusokie

Ban-je Hotel Shizuoka :-

Daitokwan Hotel Tokyo:-

Imperial Hotel Tokyo Hotel Tsukiji Seiyoken Borel Yokohama 1

Grand Hotel

IN MANCHURIA

Hoshigaura:

Yamato Hotel

Thos. Cook

Hɔtan (Makdon) ---

Yamato Hotel

Ryojan (Port Arthur) -

Yamato Hotel

&

Son.

BANKING AND EXCHANGE DEPT.

COOK'S CIRCULAR NOTES combine MAXIMUM SAFETY with CONVENIENCE. A special feature is the precautions Taken to ensure

-the maximum safety possible.

-Ask for descriptive booklet at any of our offices..

Head Office:-

LUDGATE CIRCUS, LONDON · E.C. Telegraphio Address:-COUPON!

Local Address :--

HONGKONG HOTEL BUILDING Telephone: Central Nos. 6246 -

HORLICK'S MALTED MILK

Dr HORLICK'S MALTED “MILK. Where's baby on. Intrus au“ the benith --geving; propertirs HURLICK'S the FOOD DRINK. Lana pan race operation right away." į

The band biomes verified, nad tie bija

WE ALSO searabad and,” paral-ma

za huduta minadat her jura tangi,

Blade in an instant by the addition (

a' linie water, Ane or onld.

Gð að Chomum and Starte

„„PORLICK'S MALTED MILK CO

SLOUGH, BUCKS.. ENG

HEADS OR TAILS.

→ THE LAWS OF LUCK.

Man cherishes an incorrigible faith in Luuk, and is incorrigibly lazy about sendy- ing the Lows which rugh at Luck-Laws of Probability, writes Ward Mair in John'o' Lindoss's Werky The most speculative persons continualy pay Lip service to the Laws of Frobability. How many of the visitors to the Derby or to Monte Carlo have over heard of J. M. Kaynes's masterly "Treatise on Probability (Macmilian), or, it they had, could comprehend its

pages elaborate formule 1 And, at the concinsion of Keynes's book there is a bibliography mentions the names of no fewer than 210 authors who have written about

Prob

The BREATHEABLE, THEATMENT for

ability, not including the host who have COUGHS and COLDS

composed the very numerous volumes deal- ing with Insurance. Games of Chance, Statistics, Errors of Observation, and Least Squares.

lus to

EVERYBODY NEEDS PEPSI

to the man in the street the simplest WHETHER it's Cough, or a Cold, a

problems in the Laws of Probability are those concerned with the tossing of coins, and he will tell you that if (say) the houd has turned up several times running, the probability of the tail turning up is thereby increased. But each toss is an individual event in time,

sudden Chill, Sore Throat, or a revival of the old Bronchitis, the Peps breatheable remedy is most speedily effective.

The Peps way is to strengthen the breathing passages and end, the danger before it affects the chest and lunga.

When a Pepi tablet dissolves in the mouth

dotached from and forehand by past powerful medicinal fumes are liberated. As

against a

events. To lay ouds run of heads, as a run, is mathematically sound. To chip in," offering odds in favour of a tail, after a run of heads, is unsound, because on each single toss the chances nru

eveli.

Kaynes mentions Grimaehl's calculation te the effect that if every inhabitant of the world were to toas a coin every second, day and pigh a run of 100 heads in succession would only occur once on the average in every twenty billion yours.

The late Sir Hiram Maxim, alleding to this in his book, Monte Carlo Facts, and Fallacies, lack in the game of

and discussing the of red and Kays; "It is

ia n

tion of chance, and unadulterated ques it not influenced in the least by

taken place before thing which has ever place in the farture." Howbeit, so firmly embedded in most minds is an incorrect and partial conception of the laws of pro bability that when a run of (for instance) black has occurred at one of the tables-in the Casino, many onlookers confidently plunge on red.

LOẠT RÌNH.

or that will ever take

The curious thing is that, as a mere

the diagram shows, these chest-strengthening mehcines mingle with the air breathed through the nasal cavity (t) and mouth (2) and are carried, over the tongue (3) into the throat (1) whence they pass direct down the wind- pipe (a) into the lungs. Droggy cough mix- tures and syrups are ineffective because they ga down the gallet (6) into the stomach.

The Peps breathcable medicinis however, deal directly, not only with immediate trouble in the throat and bronclitai tubes, but they penetrate to the innermost recesses, 1 where disease germs are likeliest to i

Pers not only act as a powerful germicido but they speedily soothe und beal any soreness, irritation, or inflammation; they make breath- ing easy. There is no more valuable safeguard against throat troubles, chest weakness, bron- chitis, asthma, pleurisy and pneumonia. Fres from opiates and all harmful drugs, Pepa are perfectly safe for children.

Peps

Obtainable only is sealed glass bottles of matter of the experience, exactly the reverse all chemists and medicine vend ra

would seem sometimes to be the wiser

course. In 1891 Professor Kart Pearson

printed an article in the Fortnightly entitled AGENTS: Wakefield & Co.,

"Soteneo and Monte Carlo," in which he

gave the statistics of an examination into 60, Klangse Road, Shanghal.

a fortnight's play of roulette in the autumn

Cof 1892. «In $3,000 taras of the wheel thin

totals of re and black balanced as equally as would be

mathematician. The succession of

and blacks, however" (ie, the runs) "set the laws of chance at defiance in the most persistent and remarkable manner.

Another fortui

night's play Was

th-n

tabulated by a pupil of Pearson's with the rosal

alt that his fortnight was so "inprobable" that it was only to be expected once in 5,000 years of continuous roulette, the "rus" were No frequent. Bat Dr. Asri Marbus ootelid Pearson

by examining 80,000 coups from Monte Carlo and elsewhere, and to make confusion worse confoundal announced that long runs, instead of being in oxces, were greatly in defect.

Little wonder ie it that M. Blane, founder | of the Casino, used to aver that he would give a

to anyone who could prove that money could be made with

certainty by the punter at Monte Carlo, and that the Frenchaying canic to be popular,

Black foses; red lowes; it is white (Blanc) that ni ways gains." Obviously this is true in the aggregate, or the Casino company would

not be able to pay its remarkable dividends According to guidebooks the bank has only chances to the player's 60. But the bank's annual winning aro stated to be approximately one million sterling, which would mean that

01 millions wert taken to the tables difficult figure to swallow, Sir Maxims after close watching of the play, asserted that at the tinie his book was written (1904) only | £1,100,000 way" staked in 'a year, which, if truc, would prove that the bank actually won aver 50 per cent.-and that the advant- ago' in its favour so far from being 81 to 60, was more like ten to one!

THE ULTIMATE LOSER.

This is a questionable statenient. But on one point nearly all are agreed-namely, tant while a gambler may win, whether at Monte Carlo or elsewhere, he can only do su it, having won, be ceases to

In infinite

play continuation of play he is certain, ultimately, to lose. Here we g back to Proh ability

and Mathematics.

fact that the

قرية

poorer gambler is, relative to his op ponent, the more likely is he to be broken, can be expressed in an algebraic formula as also that private gambling ust be a losing venture. As Keynes inevitable infnitely rich gambler is the public professional at the public that the

BOYS

It is

is therefore certain."

plays, and his ruin

Might not Poison and Condorcet re- ply. The conditions of the game imply contradiction for no gambler plays, as this argument suppose for ever! At the! cul of any finite quantity of play, the pluyor, even if he is not the public mag finish with winning of any feite size The gamblur is in a wurso position if his is smaller than his opponents-at on the Stock in clear. But our desire for

improvement ont strips our logic if we tell him that he must lose. Besides, it is paradoxical to that individually must lose. and that

-Hay

gambleuat win. ForeYCTY

individual dividual gambler or syndicate of gamblers who wi The true mural is this, that poor men should not geble and that millionsfres should do nothing else.

who loses thore is up in-

plied that, in

fest be re- are men

originally poor who departed from the path of prudence, it must be admitted that the pour man is not loomed with certainty.

Here speaks Koynes in one of his dryly frivolous moments, and truth to tell, the tlume of Probability is one which mankind, atauy rate when he is thinking of betting- breve of taxing botting-is prone to treat unseriously.

"Nothing has the Same Lasting Results"

Hall's Wine the Great British Tonic for health

and strength not only enables the body to resist disease, but quickly and permanently restores the wasted frame to health after illness or operation. Itis used with consistentsuccess in Nerve Weakness, Coughs and Colds In the words of a well. kadwn. Medical Man, "Nothing bas the same lasting results."

It is no wonder doctors all over the British Isles prescribe Hallr Wine and have done so for nearly thirty years when it has won such glowing tribute to its worth.'

Hall's Wine

THE SUPREME RESTORATIVE

A doctor writes of this wonder jul tonic: Hall's Wine braced me up so effectively that I have pinned my faith to it ever since:" tal's We is ačtab robi from sil

first-class Climates and

Merchants,

Sein Proprietor, STEPHEN SMITH &CO. LTD., BOW, LONDON, ENGLAND.

237

AGENTS:-BANKER & CO., LTD., '

.HONGKONG.

INSURE WITH

THE:

OCEAN

ACCIDENT & GUARANTEE CORPORATION LIMITED

ACCIDENT & ILLNESS MOTOR CARS. MOTOR CYCLES FIDELITY CUARANTEES BACCACE. BURGLARY EMPLOYEES INSURANCE

ETC.

Several questions impugning the utility |SHANGHAI OFFICE :—

were addressed to ir M. Barlow, in the

of the Comunittes" oni Domestic Servic

House of Cemmons on June 2011. In

""་

No. 20, PEKING ROAD, SHANGHAL

reply he migh that duly a small number AGENTS for Hongkong and South Chinn

of witnesses remained to be called. Sir

II. Canik insisted that the Committee had ́alrendy done infinito laras,

DODWELL & CO. LTD.

TELEFĦ. Ü. 1030,

2, QUEEN'S ELDO.

Mrs. M. par "My dar linki girl in a picture of health and kappiosy I cannot speak sisi kichir »l Glo

A Doctor says

"My baby has been fed on Glaxo since he was a month old, and has thrived splendidly on it. I always advise Glaxo for babies who cannot be breast-fed, as in my opinion it is the food par excellence for bottle-fed babies. All to whom I have recom mended Glaxo have given most favourable reports." Glaro is

the "food par excellence" for Baby, because it contains all the nourishment he needs, because the Glaxo Process has made it as easily digestible as mother's milk, and because it is en- tirely germ-free, accompanied by none of the dangers of disease "always present in ordinary milk. Ask your Doctor /

Glaxo

The Super-Mith

"Builds Bonnie Babies"

the safest, purest form of milk for every milk purpose

GLAXD in ob[afushis at All Chemistu and High Claw Dealers. Nale Distributors for South Che

W. E. LOXLE & Co. Hongkong.

Propristors: Joseph Nokaï & Co., Limbat, Lindén and I'm Eaton,

The Largest Exhibitions in the Empere devoted to the Products of any Single Industry

OLYMPIA LONDON

Seventeenth International.

MOTOR

EXHIBITION

for Private Motor Cars 2nd.-10th. NOV. 1923

Organised by The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders Ltd., 83. PALL MALL, LONDON, SW.I

International Commercial

MOTOR TRANSPORT

& ROADS DEVELOPMENT

EXHIBITION

(including Town Planning Section) NOV. 22nd. - DEC. 1st, 1923

VERSHARP is a good pencil

Ebecause

It's always sharp

Its leads don't wabble

It lasts for years

It has a handy eraser :

It can be had in a variety

styles, designs and metals.

For Sale at Landing Shops Everywhere

Wholesalo Distributors for China

STANDARD PRODUCTS CO., INC.

14, Canton Road, SHANGHAI,

EVERSHARP

Companion to WAHL PEN

CHAMBERLAIKS

DÁ VLLASANT VANSK

CHAMBERLAIN MEDICI