1917-02-15 — Page 4

Page

CUTLER PAIMER & CO'S

NAPIER

JOHNSTONE'S

Known as the

OLD

30.

THE HONGKONG DAILY PRESS,

THE WAR IN 1917,

" CONQUEST NOT VICTORY.

NEUTRAL AND ENEMY VIEWS.

War prospects for 1917 are discussed at great length in the Haagsche Post by Mr. Archibald Hurd, who deals with the naval outlook, Colonel Feyler, the well known Swiss military expert, and Major

Moraht, the Gerinan publicist.

BEWARE THE PULPIT ANECDOTE:

THE LAYMAN'S DISTRUST OF BUSINESS PIETY,

THURSDAY. FEBRUARY 15TH 1917.

SOCIALIST DENUNCIATION OF TEN MONTHS IN GERMANY, paganda. Any one familiar, however,

PEACE OFFER."

AMANOEUVRE TO DECEIVE

THE PEOPLE.

SECRET ECONOMIC CONFERENCE.

VON GWINNER'S FEARS.

[BY D, THOMAS CURTIN ]

with conditions in modern Germany Knows that Germans are ultra-materia tic

I have heard them talk of the cost of the war from the very beginning. They.. gloated over the sweeping indemnities they would exact. After they realized The majority of Germans of all classes the possibilities, of State organized scient believe what they are officially instructed tine burglary in Belgium they were be- to believe, no more, or less. The over-side themselves in joyful anticipation of mastering self-hypnotism which leads the what Paris, London, and a score of other present-day German to believe that blackaities would yield. When the war be is white, if it adds to his self-satisfac came a temporary stalemate, I heard it bion, is one of the most starting pheacaid, particularly by army officers, that mena of history But what of Ballin, Heineken, von Gwinner,, Gutmann, Thyssen, Rathennu, and other captains of industry and finance? Some of them have expressed opinions in interviews, but what do they really think I am not going to indulge in any guesswork on this matter. I am simply going to disclose come important statements made nga scelet inenting attended by many of the business directors of the German Empire. The meeting was for the pur pose of discussing actual conditions in

Germany was taking no chances with the future, but was exacting indemnatics now from the occupied districts. When taxes ross, and food shortage increased, the possibility that the Germans themselves would have to pay some of their own costs of the war in various forms of taxus ion determined a rapidly growing mum- her to seck n way out by emigrating at the first opportunity

Preachers who use ***snifflin littlo All German comment on the peac anecdotes, of doubtful authenticity to offer is to the one effect, and quite illustrate more or less obvious points in plainly dictated from above Not the discourses are warned by single discordant note is heard. Even Minneste layman that it is a foolish the Vormerts is kept rigidly in tune. practica, Indeer, thinks the editor of One has to go outside Germany for the The Bellman Minneapolis), these fre truth about Herman feeling, and as usual Colonel Feyler, in the course of naquent references to religious impulses or to the Berner Taguacht which, though interesting analysis of the positions of the acts in the lives of active men tend to the organ of Swiss Social Democracy, bas

alienate or disgust the layman, instead during the way been the chief mouth 1ival forces, writes ----

of winning him, as intended. The piece of the so called Socialiat You say - We shall win we say writer perhaps Mr. William C. Edgar, minority in Germany The views of We have won So say the Central the editor and owner of The Betinan this paper on the peaco offer will starte Powers to the Allies, and if conquest wonders where the ministers get all these many of those who have been inclined to arells victory they are justified, for have incidents of sanctimonious drooling, take the German Note too seriously. The SQUARE they not overrun Belgium, Northors this sort of thing a part of the whole thing is denounced as a deliberate France, Poland, Lithuania, Courland, curriculum in theological seminarios trick and maneuvre--for the purpose of and a great part of the Balkans. But, if or does there exist, a Bureau for the deceiving not the Allies but the German conquest meam, victory, why are the Ger the Dissemination of the Personal Repeople Berlin is calculating upon its mass making a levy use of their owligious Anecdote, such as there is for non-acceptance by the Allies. In reading population and presses Does a victori

into their service supplying funny stories for after dinner is denunciation it should be remem The Belgiaus aid ous nation need to employ such extra spenkera? At any rate the touchingbered that the Berner Tagwucht is by now a straightforward manner, therefore no find us as strongly organized for peace ordinary measures in order to obtain story of the grea, merchant who con means pro-Ally, though it is not pro member of the Press, Germán or foreign, as we were organized for war." The

descends to trik religion to one of his German; that it is intensely and pence? They clearly prove that conquestiolest clerks, or that of the prominearnestly pacifis; and that it speaks with does not spell victory, and that a strategy which, ingrely takes secunt of gains of eat lawyer who, in the midst of his mire knowledge of Germany and more territory does not fulfil its object The plea, turns aide with patronising ostensority on behalf of the German work alm of war is to break the power of the lation to acknowledge hibrit i thong ches than ang paguilt, of an early and victorious peace, chery in order to force him to site for Deity, or that of the illustrious states pence So long as

this object is not man who is never too busy to wrestle in altained there is no question of victory prayer so that anyone who is passing For twelve years Napoleon dominated uil can make a note of it-there and hun- Europe from the thine to Moscow, but in dreds more of liks tenor serve to clucidate the end he had to yield to his adversaries, i the discourse of a certain type of clergy, whom he had failed to destroy.

man, The Episcopal Jayman, editor, and man of affairs then proceeds to offer the clergyman these words of earnest admonition:

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GERMANY'S BURDEN.

Now, as then, success depends on the

obtain

The average layman distrusts his fellow who indulgas 'n religious cant, who parades his belief, who makes a point of talking religion. He has a goud reason to Experience has taught him that the canest and clutest bargniner, the coldest and heartless trader, the one who can always be depended upon to pro- mote his own selfish interest at the es

ense of others, is he who does so to the accompaniment of sacred texts.

XO TERME IN THE OFFERIN

What are the facts) proceeds The German Imperial Chancellor has in the course of the last year more than once made the declaration that Germany is ready for an honourable penes that will safeguard her interests. What we

either in the Chancellor's speech or in the Note of the Central Powers. And so long as this is so the reference in the pro-German morning papers to this event of world historie importance is a utere ludicrous phrase,"

THE STARK REALITY

What

same in the case of materialers unctuous, conspicuous, and insistent in from the standpoint of the peoples,

was present

· In striking contrast with custom when the war is discussed, nothing was snad of Kultur of German innocnoon or enemy

of British warships widing always in safety, or of the omnilcience and infalli bility of the Supreme Military Com

mand.

DISPELLING ILLUSIONS. The little circle of Germans who have displayed such briliant, organizing ability in commerce and industry are practical men, who look at the war and the days debit and credit. This being the case to follow the war in the cold Light of the honest opinions expressed by Arthur von Gwinner, President of the Deutsche Bank, are worthy of serious consider tion. His chief points were

IMPORTED RUSSIAN LABOUR.

Ay Herr Ballin taid,"! The world will

labour problem, however, not only now, but for the days of reconstruction is view- every seriously, how seriously may be gathered from the fact that there is so- much apprehension that Russia ay 10- fuse to allow her workers to go to Germany for some years after the war, that nearly everyone at the eccret con ference mentioned above was in favour of making concessions at the pence con ference thould. Russia inaist. Indeed one Rhinelander was of the opinion that it would be worth while giving up Cour and to get an unlimited supply of labour

been jule in other directions. Until In the meantine the Germans have not Hindenburg culled up his immense levies in the Inte summer, Germany exported steel building countries, but she can no longer do this, Novertheless, she did

into Russia on a colossal scale im- mediately after the resumption of inter- course. Immense supplies of farming. implements and other articles of steck live heen stored in the Rhineland, West- phalia, and Silesia ready for immediate shipment to Russia, thus enabling Ger- many to get ahead of all rivals in this

the nation that a Centrul Európe Economic Alliance will amply compen sate us for any shortcomings elsewhere, and enable us to sit back and snap our fingers at the rest of the world is too absurd to be entertained by serious men. Our trade, import and export with Austria-Hungary was as great as it could be for many years to come, and i field. it was only a small part of our total trade. After the war, as before, the bulk of our trade must be with coun: tries now neutral or enemy, and we must seriously consider how to hold and add to this trade in the future,

The achition of the labour problem will be vital in the work of reconstruc tion. We must make every provision in order to forge rapidly ahead im- mediately after the close of the war

No German, except for necessary reasons of State, should be allowed tu ledge the country for a number of years after the war.

Gerinans also derive, comfort from thes fact that utir ships will be ready at once to carry cargoes and passengers. while so many of those of the Allies will be used for the transport of troops Efter the one of the war, and must then refit. With such plans for getting the jump on competitors it is only natural that I saw more and more irritability on the part of the financial men with caeb month of the way after last April,

have now is a similar declaration. The only difference consists in this--that this At the end of 1010 the war is still at the

declaration is made at the santo fino by same point as it was in August, 1916 If he could by any possibility know manicated in an official Note to the all Germany's allies and is to be com resources in bleu, and eaterial which the how these examples of business picty Fatente nail the neutrals. That is all. Any belligerents have in reserve, and ud their which he considers so lanciable affect detailed statement is lacking upon which determination to us every meats to the layman, on, knowing it, could pos the foundations of the peace negotiations

But while the Allies une sibly understand how such things causE sly distributing their forces according real men to fidge, and squirm and might be built. Lacking are the de- to their: Pesuirzes matters are otherwise inwardly, he might learn to reserve thestrands of the Central Powers, their war 1. The belief cherished by the mase of make elaborate preparations to dump with the Central Powers Germany nauseating anecdotes for exclusive use in In the long run it does compelled, ju

in addition to her formal among there less sophisticated in the hot matter that a country is ready in share of the burden, to take up that which ways of the world.

principle for peace negotiations; what should fall on her Allies For

- does matter is the conditions on which it exampl the British in 1917

is ready to conclude peace. But con- able in take over large part of the Freselt front, and the

cerning these there is not a single word Russians and Portuguese are also in a position to take their share. Thus the French, who are defending only a portion of their front, will be enabled to form new reserves. The Germans, on the con- trary, even in the first period of the war had to bear the whole burden of the Western front, and in the second year had to relieve the Austrins ou n portion of

The Berner Paywacht adds will be the effect upon the Entente ! To the Eastern front. In this way their He knows that the business house, arrive at a peacs requires the statement eficetives will be more rapidly used up. Moreover, the calling to the colours of the with the prayer-mixting annex, led by the of definite and actual terms. Either a 1917 and 1918 classes will give the Central proprietor, is the one which has the pence offer must contain such concessions Powers only half the aumber of meu that narrowest conception of Christian at the adversary receives a settlement will he rrised by the Ali levies, and in charity, and comes the nearest in its of his claims, or the enemy's strength the coming campaign the Entente will be daily practice to the line where negat must have been so weakened that nothing Kuperior in mun powerk It will be theness meets actual dishonesty. He does else remains for him than to grasp the not trust very for the user who is hand stretched out towards him. Neither (which are being crushed in common under the war, and surely hot from the stand- point of the Governments upon which the responsibility for this wir rents, in either one or the other condition exist en The Central Powers do not declare There remains the question of general

themselves at all in the matter of their ship, Ju which the Central Powers so lar

war ains on the other hand, the military have had the advantages due to unity of Unfortunately, few clergymen are in Powers is not yet so broken that they.

and economic strength of the Entente leadership, aim, and execution The Entente has suffered from diversity of position to know this side of human must accept peace ag a boon from the aims, and from its Parliamentary system life. They can judge only by what they hand of the enemy True, Belgium, Whenever a good plan of action has been see of a man within the narrow limits Serbia, Montenegro and Roumania are

it has had to be sanctioned by all of their contact, and must Deeds accept rostrate portions of France and Russia. the States concerned and by their various him for what he professes himself to be are occupied but nowhere is the original Parliaments, aud when at last it has been

Waen the Intelligent laymen who front pierced. The recent reconstruction agreed to, new events have chauged the knows the world in which lie lives and of the Petrograd, London and Paris situation, Faud the opportunity has been

must needs know it, otherwise his bide, Cabinets do not permit the conclusion improved and betone a core would hang from the wigware of the to be drawn that he rent on between conflicting views, thus losing the wicked and he would cease to be hears have led to peace Ministries. Or the from various channels of reliable infor force of the original conception. While the preacher telling about the great contrary the signs the proceedings mation which I made use of in Germany, the 1918 campaign did so tutil the high merchant prince the illustrions States on the Entente Parliaments and the I found serious view taken of these hopes of the Allies, it did not bring them man, the prominent lawyer, mid the speeches of the members of the new and other topics, of which the great any serious selback On the contrary, eminent financier, in an anecdote y Cabinets make it clear that new and body of Germans are quite unaware de I have seen Germany in the sunshine they are further from defeat than many, dolent of sanctimonious pretence, he perhaps hnal efforts are in preparation; expected

fu 1915, and their resources for writhes in slime and bitterness of soul, efforts that are not directed for the Take the labour problem, for example, and the shadow, and the shadow is deeper. the destruction of the Central Powers louging to rise and ery out: Woe unto bringing about of peace negotiations, For years Germany has recognized the than one who has nut lived there recent have grown in a marvellous manner. you, for yn tithe mint and rue and all but the prolongation of the war

necessity of a rapid increase of populay can realize, It is common knowledge: They hold the best cards: effectives distri manner of herbs and pass over jugmont Such wasation facts, deplorable, tion, if a nation is to shash rivale in in- among Americans in Berlin that if a new bated evenly along their entire front, and the love of God.T

for yo love maybe, hut nevertheless facts. They are dustry and war. Not for moment arrival from the United States tells the financial strength, and international trade the uppermost seats in the synagogues, known in Berlin Vienna Sofs and during this struggle has Germany lost Wilhelmstrasse that the opinion in bus leadership that shall play the cards at they are as graves which appear not, and that from the standpoint of the poliev heard in the Fatherland that tic assur. drew his remark is received with leaders Bow rests only on inity of and greetings in the marketsguer Constantinople. Every ware sigat of this fact. Meny times have I country is that the war will end in a right moment and so win the game for the men that walk over them are not of the Entente (which is no less criminal ance of milk to children is not for heartfelt joy: I venture to say that if

aware of them for ye lade man with than the war policy of the new Quad- burdens grievous to be borne.

that on the day when the Central | realise that in spite vi all their efforts they cannot bring to the war the resources of their adversaries their people will not long put up with the pervationg of the

evolved,

the Allies.

LEADERB.TIE XHE-CRUX

beromu Compromis

MAJOR MORAHT 6 BOASTS," Major Moraht, after a boastful review For the achievenicity of the Central Powers

up to the end of 1516, writes

the day

his piety. As for the politician, who can easily be termed an illustrions states man if one is thus disposed to glorify him, he knows well that when he turns prayer there is something doit anung his henchmen that budes ill for the wel fare of the State and the health of the public treasury

Before the war 2,000,000 Russian, came to us every year at harvest time. These Just continue to cong

JAPAN AND THE UNITED STATES.

Ton Gwinner a romark about the in-. probability of war between Japan and the United States in the near future would, if known to the German people, cause still another keen disappointment, since one of their solaces but beɛn the thought that they would soon have an opportunity of reaping a munition bar-

4. We have done wonderful work in scien

bific agriculture, but the limit of productivity of the soil is undoubted-vest themselves, ly been reached.

Do not place too much hope in an carly war between the United States and Japan.

There is great rejoicing over the sink úng of cuciny clips.. It should also be remembered, however, that we are not paying any dividends as present, In the discussion which followed the statements

entirely sentimental bat also for prac. ruple Aliance) peace negotiations anve tical reasons. Official attempts are being The laymen distrusts and sometimes no chance, as no Entents Covernment at inade at present to increase the populp abhors his fellow who deals in sancti the present cinent and in fase of the tion in ways which cannot be discussed malous are, wao professes much bus litery situation which is essentially in a newspaper, You get yourself born Cors little; all their works the dovedecided, would dare to come back to and the State does all the rest was an

RESTRICTION OF

EMIGRATION,

A sзrinus consideration of what Ger-

A short time ago, when Gerary tried to make a separate peace wita Russia, Japan was also approached-tow far, I do not know. The Wilhelmstrasse still maintains & Japanese department, and any possible thread, however light, which may be twisted from a Tokyo newspaper to show that perhaps Japan may be wou over, is pounced upon most eagerly. combination whispered in Berlin. at the Germany, Japan, and Russia was the

time of the unsuccessful attempt to separate the Allies b

one had given such an opinion during the first year and a quarter of the war, he would have been considered unsympathe fic or something worse

If the Allies quickly ut fe all heir resources Germany czador escapo defent. and I doubt if that fact is recognized anywhere more fly than in German diplomatic oreles. If Germany, je tu make rapid progress after the war she must get an early peace--The Times,

SHAKY NERVES.

Unless you are well advanced, in years. your hand should be steady

In spite of this time of blood the long. ing for peace holds sway in men's minds. I seen of men, they make broad their people with empty hands. This is accurate analysis of Germany before the But the word is still to arms, and the paylacteries and calarge the borders of destiny of the war-Victory or Dewar but the Stato less after every clatter of swords drowns the timid voice their garracats. To layman demands fent; and so long as one of the ethering now. of PERCE

Germany is not to blame that that his fellow leave preaching to the has not happened a continuation of the Peace is not venter Proofs preachers, and do his praying in private, butchery, even if the prospects of defeat that our enemies wished for war before that he puts his religion into his life al Powers have certainly never had the many, or any other belligerent, will do

should steadily grow greater, The Cen we mobilised were furnished long ago. dealing uprightly, tolerantly charitably, Neither Russia, Dor France, nor Belgium and not cantingly with his fellows. He least doubt that the Entente will con- after the war is usually of little value, was neutral when we negotiated with them in good faith. And how it was England will join in honouring him only when tinue their campaign, and exactly for a conditions after the war depend upon that reason the Governments of the what is done during the war. The amount that, when we laid the first planks of the finds his prayer in his work

Quadruple Allianco have found it the of freedom which the German people bridge to no agreement, threw them back NZ

cater to make this politically shrewd attain in the next few years is in direct the

of blood. But the contest sea of

*** and extraordinarily skilful move.

proportion to the amount of thrashing goes ever more clearly in our favour. The roh will of our men. A hardening pro QUAOK SURE FOR WAR WEARINESS.

administered to their country by the rivals stand on the threshold of a second

cess is going on in the German spirit. But this move was equally a neces thing to say about the frontier regula mobilisation Whole nations and at Not that we are striving to swallow up sity of donicstic politics for the continuations of Germany; but nesuming that the Allies. Perhaps they will have some armies are entering the conflict the small nations that live peacefully on tion of the war by the Central Powers. untamable will to conquer compel us

borders; our

world-empire ཐ ་ to nobis our people though our wer England has bails up by blood and fire is there is a cry for peace. What method. extremely probable that they will not be nervous breakdown. In meeting this con as Their peoples are war, weary everywhere hastily casting aside their docility, it is These signs often precede a serious of defence has really brought us victory not our ideal We shall look more soberly then, could be of more pe for the revival allowed to leave during the first years of diet and to take a nerve tonie. De Wil already The starving-out tactics are a delusion now that we have seised Rou on the world when the days of peace of the way enthusiasm than for the Gov manin. He who will comprehend the return, but we shall certainly not cherish ernments to present themselves to their reconstruction

into

The

such

training of centuries will prevent their

trembles when you try to hold it still, if If your hand, your thumb or your foot

you have tenors of your lip or chin. the letters are shaky when you write, if

your herves Tecd strengthening, a

dition it is necessary to exercise care in the

up the shaky nerves at the aanis

Higher Power that is at work in the war the motto "Might is above right concoples with a declaration of their readerinans. Despite the snarling rage dis imo that they tone up the system in gen-

_____ GUR⠀⠀ BLOOD-AND FIRE EMPIEK

This will disappoint coveral million bana pink pills contain ingredients that has only to look at the fate of Roumania So stand fermany and her Allies on ness for peace negotiations, yet having and Italy: t

"the latter looks forward with the threshold of the New Year with the sure conviction that meanwhile it played everywhore in the Fatherland, eral; and their value in preventing dread to the approaching day of retribu-clear conscious great successes, a will never come to that?"

except to diplomatic circles, against the nervous disorders from developing cannot power that has not get reached its highest

The Reichstag sitting stage managed United States, I heard an ever-increas- be disputed, point, bent on restricting its bodily needs with such a profuse employment of adser ing number of malcontents declare that, They are especially recommended for and Our enemies reckon on the exhaustion of assured of the failure of England'stisement, the issue of the Note to the immediately after the close of war, they nervous, run-down people, because they

starving out policy. The war-aim that our strength. But we shall remain in a

forming drags. position to take the initiative wherever our enemies have set before themselves in world, the Chancellor's speech all this would go to the State to escape there a safe tonic, containing no habit

must seem to neutrals well-uigh incon is an event of domestic nolitice which burden of taxation, I raid in a previous ceivable. Russia may, perhaps, be able to neither had the bringing about of beses article that one hears two words If you have any nervous troubles; send

to-day hinterland. No doubt she will get more hence the opening of peace negotiations The third word I should add to hai, asking for a free copy of the little me, but her executive powers rest on In domestic politics a skilful more on the Steuern (taxes.) It it all very well to book on nervous diseases. It gives and poll. Francs will be unable to fill chessboard; from the standnoist of it by some hentral Greside reading methods of homo treatment and directions

gaps in her ranks. In her pursuit of pesce, mere maneuvre-this is the Goethe or Schopenhauer, while listening regarding hygiene delusion she has struggled gallantly but world historic significance of the met the Meisterninger von Nürnberg or the have. vainly From Scandinavia a volca comes ment, Never have the fraudulence of Melody in F and in yourself into Remember that Deut

Dr. Williams' pink pills be obtained from your destroyed," and neutrals have learnt to line class and the Government of idealists. This touch is used to a lown dealer, also post free, 1 bottle for see clearly.-Daily Telegraph,

displayed so plainly,

card

to the Dr. Williams'

our leaders see the way to success, at replenish her resource in her great 34 its aim nor will have as its cons (peace) and Busen (food)-constantly post Co 08, Szechuan Road, Shang

hope that our unity will be shaken. the iron hond of life intereste and dangers has produced an alliance of four States that will remain a classic example of irresistible power of a military union based on natural and political agreement, Our adversaries doubt our will to hold one and to conquer. They do not realise the impregnability of our front and the

(Continued at foot of next Column)

the

that

should

considerable extens in German, pro- 81:50, 6 for 88, from the above address.