1916-12-16 — Page 7

AN AMAZING FORECAST.

WHAT A GERMAN WROTE FOUR YEARS AGO,

BY ME TE B, MARSTON, THE WELL-KNOWN PUBLISHER.)

In 1912 an old Russian angling friend of mine, Baron T, wrote to me to advise me to get a copy of a German work which was attracting much atter tion in Russian military circles.

It was entitled "Der Europaische Krieg von 1913" ("The European War of tola"). I procured a copy and found that it was a clover description of this present war by an eye-witness who put lished his account in 1912:

*Among things he did not foresce, were trench warfare and the British Empire Army. The work has peculiar interest just now because in 2018 its publisher, Paul Baumann, of Charlottenburg,, when ingying a third edition, was graciously permitted to print in red type on it an extract from a letter from Count Zepp lin in which be blessed the work, saying: Mochte ihm der gebuhrende Einflush auf die Geschicke unseres Vaterlandes zuteil werden. "(May it have ita due influence on fas fortunes of our cour try).

This is the more significant, coming from the Count, as the book attributes the inevitable Teuton victory largely to the Zeppelin air squadrons,

THE HONGKONG DAILY

A ** MASTER SPY."-

GERMAN ARRESTED AT WASHINGTON...

CHARGES AGAINST COUNT

BERNSTORFF..

FRESS,/ SATURDAY, DECEMBER 16ru, 1918.

UNGLAIMED TELEGRAMS.

Barnetto.

Hone

OUR LONDON LETTER,

[FROM OUR OWN COERESPONDENI.]

The following in a list of unclaimed telegram | bying in the linetoms Autonalan, densimlania nasa LONDON, November 19th.

China Telegraph. Company's ollos at Hong- THE LORD MAYOR'S ** BANQUET,

This year's Lord Mayor's-banquet may

STAL BROM be said to have made up in the quality

Adelaide of the speeches what was missing in

Chicag The self-styledimaster spy," (Arm- Fother fure. For the sake of tradition it: Chirde, Hongkong Hotel ... Shonend gaard Karl Graves, was arrested at was called a banquet, but those who recall Carton, Hongkong Hotel Bangkok Washington on November 11th (says The the Gargantuar feasts which were wont Chonghong Chan, Lodging Times correspondent) on a charge of to be given in the historic Guildhall

Kuala Lumpur attempting to blackmail Countess Bern would consider the repast on this occasion Dead on, 30, Den Vuenz Rd. London storff. Graves, who at one time was in

a very simple one. There was a little, H. ng nts NY.K. Bingspote the secret service of Germany, was turtle soup, fillet of sole game done

Nambo

Cholun accused by Prince Hatzfeldt, the First en casserole, cold beef, salad, no vege-

Ngeschann

Bangkok Secretary of the German Embassy, who {tables; n jelly, and an ice such wern, the

Pensas Hongkong Hotel.... Macao Procter,

steamer Brinkburn Cardiff alleges that Graves offered to sell te him items of the feast. A discerning dior Boton Lawyer, Offce, Vos for 2000 letters addressed to the Amcould easily have done as well in a quiet

Vooux Road

Fingapore bassador's wife. The letters in question restaurant for a modest gum. One of the Wisgaar 16, Stanley Sireet, were smuggled into the United States on descriptive writers likened the banquet tap Hoor

Manila 1 October 1st aboard the Oscar II. Graves to an expeditious affair a sort of Vithethir, Nanbayan... Mandalay represented them to be of a character quick time lunch." It is an object-lesson Ting, 139 Connaught Bd. San Francisco, gravely to compromise the counters. He for the country in war-time agonomy, as Young, Frotch Hopal Chemer was arrested as he left Prince Hatzfeldt's the term is understood by the City residence. He admitted that he wished Fathers, when His Majesty's Ministers to make money out of the letters, adding,uote to dine! the German Ambassador has been using "I was merely using the same methods | PEACE XITES.

Asquith's sping at the banquet The German was characterised by fere and clearnessbon for the last two years. Hatzfeldt declared it to be trae that the Gerthan Embassy knows what I mean," Prince Its main purpose was to deal with the

campalion of pacifist wire letters were in cipher, and explained pulling, which is in full operation. In a "We are most anxious to have it deter-recent letter I referred to this subjects; mined who brought the letters to this at nume length the Bying of peace kitesh country, and how they happened to fall | by and on behalf of the chemy in various into the hands of Graves."

countries in the aupe of capturing acutra opinion in the interests of Germany, sud, at the same time, to divide the Allies. As predicted be Armgaard Graves, the The campaign is being conducted with discarded German spr the German pici Tentonic enterprise and cuming.Tong Embassy officiala will not appear in Court The Prime Minister showed that in this on Wednesday to prosvete the charge Kuntry, there am people suggesting that they preferred against him of attempted Germany is prepared to restore the int blackmail. When Graves was informedpendence of Belgina and give her ogs of this decision is the reportéra ho snorted | Pensation, and on this hosts a ranson-

November 14th.

FROM

The following is a list of anglained zologtans lying in the tirest Northern Talegraph Company's office at Hongkong -

·ADDRESS: Charge Tokio

Loghing Hotel Shanghai Bader, Houskog Hoil or

King Edward Hotel... Peking Hidame, Kremlin Mr. Laangking. on Chee. chengehur C. 157, Wing 1ch Street

↑

0448 323, 0, 5994, (208, IRVO, 1344, "1648, 1075, 00:05, 7510, 7008 Urg at sod Lickingcheang

Tec

Hank

Koba.

Peking

Sestow

Shanghai

... Amoy

Yokohamaa

WEATHER REPORT.

On the 19th at 11,45—No. Fate Tria froma Janes Stations.

Preant: no hes, itare:sed moderately over the China cose and dicreano slightly over the (kiippines; it ren aus highest over N. Chica sad is el fively low over the outh part of the Chiare

It may be interesting to give a résone of this German forecast of this greatest of wars, its causes, course, and ending.

Not the last striking thing in the book is the utensa hatred of England which is preached in every chapter, but in this respect it is not extraordinary-in my position as editor of a British book trace paper: i have rory frequently during the twenty-five years or called attention to the extent and virulence of this anti-with derision, nut proceded to talk at panne could be secured. Only, the Brilise propagandin in the

large concerning the redifs 1 letters aday, England is being victimised by Gerntaa publishing world, especially in the shape drsed to Countess Bernstorff for the Fue and Russia, both of who want to secure special aspirations. In Russia of books like this, all set to the tune of delivery, of which be demanded £600.

Gott strafe England."

The latters are now in the custody of the ran the nthod is different

There England is represented as desiring Cauzo of the War and Grouping of the Department of Justier.

to continue the war because we AL SUBR Menscon will press 1 over the Chins Towers-The war is described us dug

Feast and the north part of the China Vis. Osterwily, to sullen insuperabile dissengines thin. Erahaser cancel him to be making auge preûts out or munitions Abg Tibi so ja kynis erung ni other commodities. We supply. "Mesh lodes, 10 Joul since st arystof his rooms had been entered by Asquith dismissed this with contempt. | Jay, 31 icebus, apps an average of

nies, who vifler hig, dosky for other mist Pence, yet he said, "but one soup 12561#brk sives. He promended as followe

dition only that the war, will frame for the heers onding

At HUDZ waste, ita verificia, its untold suffering 10rony la in follows c is glorious and undying ekaniple sofa Idsmer

FORECAST courage and unschness that the war Hoygkong to Long Fock [N,"

IN, walk, frock There was shall not have been in vain,

afon between Fruce and Germany over Morocco; really to British intrigue al to the conviction on the part of Francs that at last the bour had arrived for the

Revache for 1870:

The Entente hencen England and France had never been more cordial; Rassis had been bought over, by proffer of a free hand in Persia: Italy could not be counted on by Germany and is described as later on throwing in her fot with Frames and England.

Graves informed the renirters that.

* A short while ugn three letters game into my possit. They were smuggled here to avoid interference by the British censors. On their face they were simply fanionate letters written from woman in Germanie to Cointers Porcalna Close examination, Juwever, told me that there was gomething worn in them. I know many modes, and after ts hours lind?

ended that.

routes.

Prines Hatzfeldt invited the spy to come to his residence to discuss the matter and had bin arrested as he was leaving, why do

a storm of applause at this declaration, and it war Tracker wäen te adid There can be no question of a separate Price

BLIQUE COMPLIANT TO THE NATT. Perkais no fizer compliment could be raid to the Nagy than the amount of ewspaper excitement evoked by the Ger

|

North winds, string,

Formers ChanKİŞİ SouthCoast of Chins rotten The Beas Houghing aud Tansiooni No. 1 South Court of Chin & no ween. The same as

No 1. Hongkong huazima,

BRITISH GOVERNMENT EXCHEQUER BONDS AND WAR SAVINGS CERTIFICATES.

APPLICATIONS may be made through the undernoted Banks, from whom fall informa-

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(1) A Certifcatu entitles the purchaser to receito £1 for sich 156, 61, en the fifth snniversary of the date of purchase, free of income tax in respect of the accumulated interest.

(2) A Certifiente is not transferzbla'except by permission of the Postmaster-General, a. fus of 18, will be charged in respect of erch transferce. In the event of death, the same rules Will be applied es in the case of Favings Bank Deposite.

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price lin. (d.) are seved in book form. The Certificates for £12 (parekose price £0 (s.) and £95 (purchase price £10 58. Ed.) are isard without books. The £1 £12 and £25 Certificates are on sale st local Post Offices and at most Banks.

Comptroller and Accountant General, General Fest Office, London; application forms aro Single Certificates for some frem £100 to £500 may be obtained en application to the available at all Post Offices and ut most Banks,

JI Certificates be lost, and the serial numbers can be furnished to the Controller of the Money Order Department, now Certificates will be issued at a charge of 15,-

GENERAL POST OFFICE, LONDON,

June, 1916.

EXAMPLES OF INVESTMENT IN WAE SAVINGS CERTIFICATES.

Value After

Purchase Price:

387 10 310

1 per

2 years

4 year

d.

d.

£

d. £ A

393: 15

418 15

315

335

443 15 365

468 15

500

375

400

232 10 155

·236

201

5

266 5

281 5

300

157 10

-107 10

177 10

187 10

200

77 10

38. 15

78 15. 89

*3 16

88 15

99: 15

100

6 41 17: 6 447

6

40 17 6.50

:15. 10

15.15

16.15

17 15

18 15

20

7.15

.7 17

87 0

8 17

&

7

6 10

317

3 18

9 4 99

9

3

2

3 B

3 7

3 11

8:35

6. 6

2

2 10 3

2.16 $

1 11

1 11 6

1 18 6

15

15 S

9 18

15 6 1 17 6 179

18 9

4 8

213 3

4:18.95 -5

of

Bovril develops big reserves strength

1172

A Scrap of Paper. As the Powers guaranteeing there small States (Dai- giun and Holland) were at war with *The first letter contained only code each other, the treaties guaranteeing enough to any two more important

which is to be seen everywhere, and the

neurality were. merely chr

Stück documents am jo be expected. The other said in the Channel. The excitement preponderance of middle-aged and elderly has been confined the Press, for the men over young wer in civilian garb, Papier (is sort of paper), without two letters proved to be these important man in the street has not been in the stead of young gun the work a day practical value. This was said two documents They were sent by three best partarbed.

There is a certain world is being carried on by girls and years before Herr von Heimann Hall different mesuntars and by three different querulousness on the part of some women railway porters, ticket weg's historical Serup of Paper

cactors, bas conductors van drivers, writers who are not usually given to beak clocks, chauffeurs, letter, carriers, spech England being engaged to belp Trance, these States as Belgium if shHatzfeldt at the German Embassy in possible for the enemy to venture through things besides.

A week ago, I teleponed to Prince complaining How, they ask, was it telegraph messengers and a hundred other Then there is, also, as will or will not permit them to attack Washington that I had the letters, and the Straits of Dover and get out againsture of streets, the prevailing note Gern through Belgium and allow

that I and the agents whis comprint the Did Clus, actually througe Curier resintiy Bugtamil to lund her troops at Aurwerp, Belgian Chauvinism catches fire from letters were postmasters End that the Struity or only at t Downs? Has tie it the West End, where the majority of country been told the whole truth and women to be met with wear some sign of that of France; Holland reluctantly postage would amount to £600." listens to the wooing of her great Ger-

us. But the marvel is not that German mourning, a fost full of significance as an aoighbour; and when English fleets

destroyers inmiged to dash in and out indicating the heavy toll of life the war and

fransports appear in the Scheldt,

again, but that this is the first raid of inevitably exacts, and also suggesting Dutch heavy guris in armoured batteries

the kind which has been attempted to the mind something more, I hope, than mako a landing at Antwerp impossible.

althungh we have been at war for 27 a passing thought for the homes without: This upsets the plans of the Allies, the In private life? (ohserved Graves, Manicntia. During that time millions of number upon which a shadow has fallen. English are unable to arrive in time,garding the chargemade that he attempted troops have been carried hackwards and THE TESTOTALERS TRIUMPH

The teetotalers are elated over the and the ûrst great baigle of the way, the to blackmail the Countess)" Hatzfeldt is forwards between England and Francz battle of Lidge, ends in the French 3rd Prussian gentleman, who would at no without interruption or the loss of a operations of the Board of Liquor Coa They are not perfectly happy, it Army Corps being defeated, broken up, time discuss the wife of his superior single life. The sad passage is on this tro and compelled to stek safety under the offer. I know this, and no attempt on reckoning safer than a crossing in the is true, the drop of bitterness in their guus of Namur, Huy, Givet, and Mau beuge. The french are forced to witly part to introduce the lady's name Strand. For such a magnificent achieve cup (of water) being that we have not wild have been successful. In oficialment the British Aring and the whole total prohibition as the law of the land. draw to the line Rheins Laon La Fere: life, however, Hatzfeldt has, te a magni, cation are under an overlasting debt to put as well, though, all the bus, there N.B.-The Investment may be any multiple of 15s. 6d. up to £887 10s. leaving to the English the task, with their cent extent, the elasticity of German the Boyut Navy. It mens rather like perfect world, though, same,

is no denying that the aforesaid Board four divisions inboriously landed at Ostend, Dunkirk, and Calais, of taking philosophy, which permits him to do in ingratitude and lack of due appreciation has done what it can to prevent English- a flanking position in the Busigny dis the interest of his country things he would to raise an outery in the Press because for men partaking of the social glass. trict against the German advance.

not think of doing in private life."? quer à flotilla of fast destroyers was able Originally designed to limit facilities for Grave, nddon that Bernstorff had made to steep cut from Zeebrugge, only 50inking among the great industrial Fae of Liego and the French Frontier Fortresss-The Belgian Army, with millions of dollars with friends in steeks miles from Dover, on a very dark and epulations engaged on war work, like drawn to complete its mobilisation main- on advanced secret information from stormy aight, and, having sent an empty the Clyde and the Tyns, the regulations transport and a few patrol boats to the and restrictions have been extended until ly benind the extensive fortifications of Germany," sai

bottom, race back again. The whole ex-to-day a vast area of the country is under Antwerp, was to have operated against 4 The Ambassador know 24 hours bepedition was carried out on the enthtrot. While it is highly desirable to the German right, wing, but owing to ford the 53 appeared at Newport that and ran principle, the raids, on prevent men in shipyards and big muni- the threatening attitude of the Dutch and she was in American waters and he Scarborough and Yarmonth in the early to works from imbibing to excess, be to German demonstrations was unable to cleaned up in the market on this advancedays of the war, Mr. Balfour, referring to chase that spells loss of line and output shove, and the greater part of Belgiumi,

information.

the Ford Mayor's where national needs are concerned, why the incident at with its capital, was in German handa Italy having joined the Allies, Austria's Graves promises in the near future to banquet, disclosed the fact that the raid stuld districts with no war work ou insk is to defeat her on land and sea,disclose the text of the letters.

ers go as far as Falkestone,. He ex hantl be similarly dealt with? Because the riveters of Glasgow are apt to drink which she eventually does Except for

pressed, the opinion at the exploit is! a temporary success in the, invasion of

re likely to be repeated, or

whisky till they lisp and wink, the agricultural labourers of Essex must not Germany at Mülhuusen, the course of the

call for a pint of ale at the village inn. war. naturally goes against France dera- never had there been such a

Even in the capital city of the Empire Liége is described as being able but for sudden destruction of sea-power in the

it is impossible to obtain a glass of alephel a few days to withstand the bartering history of the world and Britanic

except between poon and half past two her torts were subjected to by the modern

no longer rules the waves. France makes I wonder what a Britou arriving home in the afternoon and between six and German siege artillery. The fall of heroic but hopeless efforts to repel the in England in war-time after several nine in the evening. To adtempt to per- Liége left the road to Namur open, and invaders; even her women, under a new

years abroad would find most strange on form the sacred rite of hospitality by Name, Maubeuge Mons, etc., are de Joan of Are, rush to battle, fight and first look round. Superficially, no treating a friend is almost an wicked as scribed as falling--much as they did fall die. Paris, the wonder city of the world, doubt, it would appear that everything robbing a church The Board of Control In a battle on the Bambre the little Englies once more at the feet of the can is pretty much the same; and yet the has put the immense powers it possesses tish Army is defeated, surrounded and queror. Then the world is asked to look truth is that nothing is the same. The into force very gradually and quietly. bas to capitulate. France is left to fight on while Germany, magnanimous, holds etreets of London are almost as crottled and the remarkable thing is that there her battles on land by herselfijnen

out her hand to France, gays she bears as ever they were in the brave days of is, scarcely a murmur of protest any- Couu: Zeppelin Attacks London, Ports her no ill-will, no hatred, offers her a

vore which preceded the war. There are where People, have been fold that the worth, Chatham, and Destroys the Br-place in the German sun and the blessings on House and in Piccadilly; the buses the war and it is only necessary for the same blocks in the traffic at the Man, restrictions are requisite in order to win tish Fleet.--In the early days of the war of German Aultwe. the English are described as being beaten England the Enemy and Why She are loaded: the tube, trains carry the Authority to say that now-a-days to do in the gat in an attempt to capture Buffers from the Furor Teutonicus," accustomed througs, with hanging on subject

with our old fricad. almost anything with the liberty of the Heligoland, but for a time they aucceed his Jess chapter this German the strap-banger in confining the German Fleet to its prophet tells us that before the way there

during the busy hours in the morning; THE WAR AND THE NEWSPAPERS. fortified bases. Then the whole civilised was only one nation, England, towards

as ho goes to the City to chase the

On and after Monday, November 20th, world was astounded at news from Lon-which Germany winced an unalterable elusive shilling, and again at night when the price of The Times will be raised don. From his base at Brussels, Count mutspoken feeling of hatred in unum.

he returns homewards. The theatres and from Id, to d., owing to the war. This Zeppelin, with six great airships, had

music hells have no lack of patrous, and givea striking confirmation to what I münden ausgesprochenes suddenly appeared over London and The reason for this hate has its roots, and altogether things would seem to be heavy strain which all English news- Busgefühl) the picture houses are nearly always full wrote a couple of months ago as to the paralysed its inhabitants by destroying this Tenton tells us, far less in envy of London Bridge with

Taking its going on in a way that makes it difficult, papers now have to bear. high explosive England's possessions in the world than to realise that the country is at war, or readers into its confidence, The Timer bombs. As suddenly as they came they. disappear, only to do enormous damage lasting, neverending

in the blood-boiling rage at the "ever that for over two years we have been says: The great increase in the cost

expressions the docks and arserials at Portsmouth. British brag, and her oner anons of taking a leading part in the biggest of production, especially in the cost of paper, bas brought about a loss, on the Chatham, etc. The 250 mile voyage be-inciting of the nations against her struggle the world has ever seen.

circulation, of about a thousand pounds dreaded competitor in the domains of commerce and industry in short at impression which, I imagine, a returned raw material, the paper on which The But, of course, this is merely the first week The increase in the price of the the praecative hemming-in policy, which traveller might receive. He would soon Times is printed, since the beginning of organs all over the world." It was this differently. Londen is not so cosmopoli-70,000 per annum. has its sent in Downing street and its notice that the crowds are composed the war is costing it an additional In the circum- unbridled hate, he says, which led Gertan as it used to be. Indeed, it is very stances, one of two courses had to be many to employ against England "such many years since it was so distinctly adopted-either to reduce the size and brutal methods of warfare as the world British as it is today. Enemy aliens are eliminate some of the principal features had never known before" England is all behind harbed wire in internment or, raise the price. It is not at all in- outside the pale of nations, and is camps; and the nationals of Allied coun- probable that other great papers will warned that if again she tries to stir tries at least all the men of military age follow this lead. Others are fealing Europe, under German leadership, will for any other) tourists are conspicuous went at Printing Bon Square on ac no strife the United States of Central -leit England long ara; while American - draught " quite as much as the manage

“give over her land to fire and the sword by their absence. The reminder that it I count of canses and conditions which I and teach her to sing Home, Sweet is war time comes with the sight of khaki, enumerated when referring to the subject. Home' among the smoking ruins,”

(Continued at foot of next Colunis,) in a previous letter,

tween Brasels and Portsmouth is cor fortably done in eight hours. The count returns to Brussels, and has lunch at the Hotel Bellevue, in the Place Royale, while he and his brave crews listen to the boys in the streets crying the news of his destroying visit to England.

But his work is only commencing. After refitting and taking in great stores of explosives an disappears with his air squadrons and drops bombs with such success 29 tao British Fleet that before long all that is left of it afloat surren (Castínued af font of nest Column.)

that the enemy will not be able to get out of the Channel again without a disaster!

ENGLAND IN WAR TIME,

BENEATH THE SURFACE

IT MUST BE BOVRIL

BRITISH TO THE BACKBONE.

By Appointment

to H.M. THE KING

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