TRADE AFTER THE WAR. STRIKING FORECAST BY AMERICAN WRITER."
THE
THE HONGBONG DAILY PRESS, TUESDAY, JULY 2518, 1916.
COMING COMMERCIAL DEATH OF VON MOLTKE.
WAR.
VIEWS OF WELL-KNOWN GERMAN
Нетт
A well-known 'American writer, Mr. Lewis R. Freeman, has contributed to Land and Water a remarkable forecast foreign trade after the war;
llegarding the future of German on the effect of the war on British and Philipp Heineken, general director of the German tranc. He writes:-In America North German Lloyd Company, express- there has been a persistent tendencyed the opinion that Germany cha await among bankers, manufacturers and economiate to picture the belligerent the threatened commercial
war quite countries after the war as dopopulated,
calmly. disorganised, crushed with debt and gen- crally crippled in their power to carry on business at home and abroad. The point for American bankers, manufac lazers and exporters to get well in mind that their two greatest commercial rivals, Great Britain and Germany, far from being depapulated, disorganised or industrially crippled by the middle, or
There must be says, he a great lack of knowledge and logic in economie affairs if the enemy countries imagine that it would be possible to cut Clermany off permanently from her enormous over seas imports without at the same time enusing great injury to the exportag countries concerned.
RESPONSIBILITY FOR WAR PLAN.
THE REAL GERMANY.
SPECIAL OBSERVER'S ACCOUNT.
A FIGHT FOR EXISTENCE.
THE BIG GUNS' POWER.
Vincent fiveit in Germany and enjoyedonomy held
WEATHER REPORT,
On the 24th at 11.20.
Japanese stations,
No return afrom
Pressure has increased considerably over N.E China, and moderately at Shanghai, the depression having apparently moved osstwerd.
Presene changes elsewhere are ema), 10 am. today, 200 inch Total since tat Hongkong rainfall for 24 hours ending at January, 62.6 inches against an average of 48,48 inches
DISTRICT
esen the end of 1917, will in spite of his goods to one eastonier would become age. A native of Mecklenburg, and the speaking part of Switzerland has beencoded the opening of the British offensive Formosa Channel
Their huge war debts and the killing of many sands of their heat men, be in a stronger position to wnge aggressivo and sucessful war for the world's trade than ever before.
HIS SHARE IN ITS FAILURE.
While the death of General von Moltke
German military policy, and German can hardly expectly greatly to affect
opinion will be strangely stirred by the fact that the late Chief of the Great General Staff and nominal organizer of Germany's war has passed away as it were at the graveside of the greatest Germna soldier of his generation.
Helmuth von Moltke was 88 years of
Bon of a minor Prussia nofficial, he was also the nephew of the famous Moltke who fought and won Bismarck's wars of aggression. He served as a lieutenant in with the Iron Cross-a greater distinc the campaign of 1870, and was decorated tion then than it is now. became personal aide de camp to his In 1882 he uncle, and on. Moltke's death in 1801 He peror was appointed aide-de-cams to the Ent 1800, and a lieutenant-general in 1902, He became a major general in with command of the 1st Infantry Divi sion of the Prussian Guards. England might not object to damaging following years it became commonly In the the economic interests of neutral coun-known that the Emperor intended him to tries in boycotting Germany, but, for succeed, as Chief of the General Staff, tunately, it is not only the neutral coun- tries which would deplore the loss of the teaching the German artillery oves
Count Schlieffen, to whose work and German markers,
now
A manufacturer accustomed to sending
bankrupt il that customer suddenly stopped his orders unless he had found another customer first. Just the same fate would threaten those countries. ex- porting to Germany before the war. It would not be cany to send those enormous INCREASE IN ORGANISATION.
exports for Germany to some other land. This is especially true of England, North American
cotton. Californian which, as alirect consequence of the fruits, Brazilian coffee, which are war, from being one of the least effective-exclusive in the German market, would ly organised arul most wasteful among suffer severely if this condition continued all industrial nations, has developed an in accordance with the plane of our - officiency conjurable to,, if not equal to, enemies into peace times.
that of the United States and Germany, There is still ich room for improve
nent along the same lines, but the fact fat mich has been accomplished in so short a time shows the potency of war-time conditions in breaking down what had come to be regarded as the fixed-for-all-time harriers of British industrial conservatism, and furnishes an illuminative object-lesson with which to encourage further reforms after the war.
INCREASE IN FACILITIES.
Besides greatly improved industrial organisation as a direct result of the war, an enormous, material increase of British manufacturing facilities will have to be reckoned with.
There is scarcely an important manufacturing plaint in the country which has not been greatly increased, jn, capacity to accom- modate the rush of war orders, while the núšiber of new factories built for muni- tion work of one kind or another is also very large. Whenever an addition to a factory has been built, the fact has always been borne in mind so far as pos ssible that it would ultimately be utilised for peacetime work, in many instances, suel as tho of shoe, aatomobile and motor truck factories and ship-building plants of all descriptions, the wartime extensions will be ready in turn to on regular peace-tine work without any change whatever, and at a moment's notice. In other cases, certain changes of machinery will have to be made to effect the transition.
Even the huge new plants, erected by the British Government for the purpose of augmenting its munition supply are invariably located at the most convenient points as regards raw material of all kinds, and also as regards rail and water trasport
plan now is to utilise ne unny of the new plants as the Govern ment ultimately decide it tau dispense with for the manufacture of products hitherto imported almost exclusively From Germany. England will resume her 6ght for the retention of her premier place in the world's trade with greatly augmented factory facilities as well as
improved organisation.
FORFANT.
Weat or variable
te light; fine. The same as No. 1.
South Coast of China between The same na
Hengkong and Immocks.
No, 1
Hongkong and Hainan,{
No. 1
REGISTER.
24TH JULY, 4.Mla
Wind
The Germans are great believers in the big guna' power not only to destroy the onomy's works, but to so shake the nerve of the troops facing them that when the sigual for infantry attack is given the The following account of the true condi- bombardment has had a moral effect that |tion of Germany hus reached "The Times" cannot be over-estimated. The soldiers from an unimpeachable sürer, It is who have had to withstand this particu ssed upon the experience of an observer lar form of preparation have said re- who reached Switzerland recently, ofter peatedly that in the earlier days the a tremendous advantage facilities for observation since the over the British Army in being able to The forecast for the 24 hours ending at Neon beginning of the war.
continus such bombardments uninter- | today is na follows an bewilderment that overcomes any person disparity bappily no longer exists, and It is hard to describe the feeling of mittently for quite lengthy periods. This who reaches & neutral country after hav recent telgrams from neutral trees and ing lived for nearly two years in the our own agree that in intensity there Hongkong & Neighbourhood wizde, moderate atmosphere of Germany.
has been nothing to equal, the terrife huil I gather that the Press in the German of shell for the space of week that pre- regarded in some Allied countries as re Becting German views and sympathies. 25 miles north and south of the Somme. Whether this is so or not I cannot say but I can say that, when I read the Ger dawn upon me that the atmosphere in
an Swiss newspapers, and it began to KITCHENER A FREEMASON. South coast of Chias between, The same as
the true situation of the Allies, I felt which I had lived so long did not reflect
In all the Kitchener memoirs published inclined to exclaim Do I sleep, do I ao mention seems to have been made of dream, or are visions abour?". Robinson his Masonic connection. Yet he has held CHINA COAST METEOROLOGICAL hardly have rubbert his even with greater Strangely enough, though he has alled Crusoe, returning from his island, can some of the highest offices in the craft astonishment The Press of German important offices in England, there are sions of the outer world were derived, of his mother lodge, Switzerland, from which my first impres-few Masune who can give you the name certainly tells the impartial truth in fact, Kitchener was initiated into the As a matter of sufficient degrees to save its readers from order in Egypt, and there is in existence sharing Geraian illusions, What more photograph of him wearing Masonic
regalia, can be asked of a neutral Press ?
This picture was taken in England herself, through her Colonies,
Scarcely less astonishing than the dis-Egypt. would be seriously affected, On the
dovery that the position of the Allies is other side of the Channel they seem to
hot what Germans fondly believe it to have forgotten already that Chamber when it was made at the beginning in some Allied countries of the real con-
Nevertheless, Moltke's appointment, bo is the mistaken conception prevalent A "PIRATE'S" PUNISHMENT: lain's idea of a Greater Britain, in the of 1000, was Imperial economie Reuse, was frustrated doubt and speculation
received with much dition of Germany and of the state of
The Evening Sun (New York), com- and it was mind of the German people. I propose through the opposition of the Colonies; freely stated that Moltke had been to describe ne simply as possible what menting on an article in the London which feared to lose their German mar selected by ket. These conditions have not changed convenient figurehead, and that the Em really are.
that condition and that state of mind the commander of the German submarine Nagaraki Emperor
Tames, notes that Lieutenant Steinbrink, to-day. The British Colonies in Africa, peror really intended to be his own Chief THE PUBLIC'S VIEW.
which torpedoed the Sussex, wna decor- Kagoshima * India, Australia, and elsewhere, losing of the General Staff. It was, indeed,
ated with the Order of Merit nearly a Cabins the German territory for their products found necessary to publish solema sera- of fats aile, wool, cotton; tobne, juft, official dementia of such stories as luat experience of life in Germany has been conclusion that this decoration consti-hijma
Unless am entirely mistaken--and my month after his exploit, and draws the ch and fruits, would suffer just as rich as according to which the Emporior reed continuous-no essential change in public tates the appropriate punishment of Bani Is Germany herself. A buycott of the Ger Moltke's hesitations by saying In feeling has taken place among the Ger- which the German Note spoke. man. commerce after the war would only war I am my own Chief of the Staff. 140 masses since the beginning of the have the effect of driving all the neutrals and you should surely be able to manage war; or, if there has been a change, it has inquired into the circumstances of naturally offer them specially advantage- quired in the time of peace,” into the arms of Germany, who would the small amount of work which is, has not been in the direction of dis this decoration and what it proposes to ous terms. In any case, it is certain.
couragement.
The utmost which ordin- do if Germany has really made this 'in- that Germany cannot be simply eliminat-
is high time that peace were made ary Germans can be got to say is that it solent reply to America. ed economically without the whole fabric
but they mean, of course, a German of the world's economy tumbling into ruins and burying our focs as well as the
correspond to German victories. peace one which shall consolidate and neutrals under them..
They not only feel that they are victorious, but they are firmly persuaded that they cannot be bonten.
SITUATION IN POLAND.
The
nuch.
EMPEROR AS CHIEF OF STAFF.
the
UN
28 #
Whatever truth there may have been in such reports, Moltke settled down in his became accustomed to nocept him as a new office, and Berlin and the Ariny permanent fact. He seems never to have had serious trouble with the Emperor, and never to have failed in taet even on those difficult occasions at the New Year when the Emperor, with the help of a blackboard and a pointer. instructed his assembled generals in the art of war,
#
15
The Sun asks if the Administration
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AKKHHDOND!flavolNOKON VON | NATU
It must not be supposed that the Ger- man people has an uneasy conscience... The Imperial Chancellor's declaration to - A recent
the Reichstag at the beginning of the Pioneer London cable states:...
Except by his almost overwhelming war that Germany was doing wrong Germany's military position strongly bulk, which increased with years, Moltke in invading Belgium was never taken as resembles that existing in 14
made little mark in such society us he a confession of guilt... enemy then marched through Belgium frequented, and it is strange now to res necessity knows no law
His phrase that intending to deliver a smashing how at theet that this easy-going man was re- still means, to Germans that Germany meant and France before the fussian mobilisation Sponsible for the working of the vast found herself in a condition of what ja was complete. They found Russia becorn German military machine through all the called Tote that is to say, of legiti unbeaten, and were obliged to send troops of other, and that it was he who was to ed to assail and crush bor" they claimed ing dangerous while France was still acute political crises, which succeeded one mate
elf-defence.
Surrounded by eastwurl. Last February Russia had re-
another rapidly during his whole period ring of jealous enemies who had conspir equipped her armies. tacked Verdun as a preliminary to a The Germans at
bear the real responsibility on the out that her only chance was in breaking. break of war. The truth probably was through the ring by all possible means new march on Paris, again hoping to
that Moltke found the General Staff in and of vindicating by the sword her
UNHAPPY THIN FOLKS. deliver a rushing blow and turn cast state of great efficiency, thanks to the right to free existence." wards in time to deal with Russia. The way in which Schlieffen had carried ou people like Harden that Germany wanted journal wrote to the editor, asking: why
Statements by French rasistance at Verdun and the its traditions, and that he was content to war, and made it deliberately are regard she was peevish, blue and discontented, One of the readers of a popular health Russian success against Austria upset leave well alone. What is certain is that ed as hersy. Harden has been badly and his answer will interest all this her programme. While news of each step he, identified himself with, rather than received by audiences in in the Russian advance is eagerly await originated, the standing plan of cam towns when he has attempted to pro My dear reader," he said, "when
provincial
peoplo. In spite of the five million men in hered, experts are even more interested in paign the rapid invasion of Belgiumpound this view, army and navy, and the huge numbers employed in such non productive yar situation, whether or not the Russians being the period of Russia' mobilization. the question how Germany will meet the and lightning descent upon France dur
At first it was thought that the war weigh what you should, you have given you write that you are thin and do not effort as the censorship and the clerical delayed on the Stockod or west of the
would be short and triumphant. Con- work of the various Government depart Strypa or south of the Fruth. It seems
fidence in the Anny and in its chiefs was ings. If you only had a reserve of fat me the real cause of your unhappy feel- ments, the increase of England's mana improbable that Austria alone, even by
boundless. Illustrated papers represent this would give a quieting and reassuring faciaresif munitions are included-in the abandonment of the Trentino offen
The part played by Moltke in the Gered the spirit of Bismarck as brooding influence to the vital forces, and you the last twenty months is enormous.sive, can effectively resist Russia on the marked out in advance and was es repetition of the mighty deeds of 1870 optimistic.
raun councils of July, 1914, was well over Paris and pointing the way to a would then be happy, contented and What this increase amounte to, it is im whole front, and, as the Morning Post's turbed by any nice calculations of policy, 3ossible in the absence of any gures military correspondent remarks, it is not Moltke doubtless exercised at the critical
and 1871, The Battle of the Marne was covering the output of munitions, ships, to be supposed that Germany will allow,moment just the sort of pressure which lenger, and bærder. than had at first beeirimbs makes all the difference between humidity of air saturated with moisture, being
taken as a proof that the task might be per distribution of fat on the body and Then, too, you realize that the pro- eleto make even an approxiante her ally to be driven estimate Fudging, however, from the pathians and the whole position on the Ambassador in Berlin has related in his that, on the Marne, the German armies of fat is one of nature's wise precautions
across the Car the Army expected of him: The French pposed, but all talk of a German re-beauty and agliness, and you envy your 150. fact That the country's
exports eastern front to be imperilled without dispatches how Moltke, in November, had merely stayed their advance for to enable us to bear some of the trials of verseas checked by the explanation plump friends. As a liberal allowance have been inifly well maintained making a determined attempt to prevent 1913, said to the King of the Belgians: time, in order to take up positions care- life, you should do all in your power to
as compared with 1913 14.3 tit. normal year-and have even been increas ed from month to month since the first
fully selected 15 years earlier by the fore- got fat. sharp drop following the outbreak of the
sight of the General Staff.
I know nothing so valuable to war, it ruust be very great, possibly so
England. Sargol, prepared by The Sargol Co. of make people fat as a preparation of
A HUGE PRODUCTION.
much as 50 or 25 per cent.,
has
THE EYE OF WAR
This time we must put an end to it." Molke afterwards denied that conversa tion, bat he does not seem to have dis-
even
and der very existe Thugs tiges As time went on the conviction grow deepened that Germany was fighting by the necessities of the situation to is essential, as it has great value as a From the standpoint of health, lat sibility of the aggressor must be disreupon the people was that Germany was from destruction. So, by all means try The commonplaces as to the respon attack, the view constantly inculcated reserve force, and saves the other tissues garded. When war has become necessary means of getting this notion out of the his fans to cover his communications. it must be waged by ranging all the
and is on the defensive. There are no to get fat," The Germans are conducting demonstra- chances on one's own side. tive
We must
public mind.
A 8 WATSON & Co., Lm, from Baranovitche to forestall our principal adversary imme
VICTORIA DISPENSARY, Poliesie to mask the regrouping in the diately there are nino chances in teo that
THE PHARMACY, which have weakened the line of the begin war without waiting, in order centre necessitated by these dispositions we are going to have war and we must
QUEEN'S DISPLANBART, THE EDWARD DISPENSARY. brutally to crush all resistance.
The Central News Petrograd correspon- dent suggests that the Germans may assist the Austrians by risking a great the battle on the wina front as the only claimed tatt over more characteristic alternative to retirement from there. same year:-- Part of this increase, it is true, is due This Retrograd correspondent states that to causes which will cease to operate after the Russian advance the war-volunteer workers, suspension Prince Leopld of Bavaria, whose right compelled of trade union rules for the restriction rests on the Pripet and Stokled, to bend of output, and sheer increase of pervous effort but the ough greater part is due to improved organisation and heightened efficiency.
POSITION OF GERMANY.
Germany, like England, will be stronger industrially after, the war than Shara. ane was before, though her gain both relative and actual, will be far less pro- nounced, England's increased industrial
:26
attacks
76-3..
•Tjikarcem
6 a 2183 Lat, 1855 N. Long. 13.4 E
WW .b
T. F. CLAXTON, Director. heit, au the level of the sea in inanes, tenths 1. BARCHETES, reduced to 32 degrees Fahren-
and hundredths.
2. TEMPERATURE, in the shade, in deg 100 Fahrenheit.
8. EoMmITY, in percentage of estucation, the
& DIRECTION OF WIND, to two pointa,
6. Fonds or Wiko, according to Beaufort Scale, 6. STATH OF WRarum, & blue sky, o detached cloud, d drizzling rain, fog, gloomy, h bail, I lightning, overcast, p passing showers, q equal, rrain, snow, t thunder, v visibility, w dow (wolą,
7. Bity in inches, tenths and hundredtbs.
HONGKONG METEOROLOGICAL
REGISTKE.
Hongkong Obervatory, July 26th,
Previons On Date On Date
Day
2pm.
at 2 p.m.6 am,
Barometer Temperature Humidity Wind Direction
Faroe
29 78 1973
29.74
£9.
58
1.80
05.
West
WNW
2
0
བ
.0
Bata
Higħas! open-wi Temperature on 23rd - 90. Lewert open-air Temperature on 43rd - 80
FEELING TOWARDS ENGLAND.
intense. The Germans had been hopeful Gradually the bitterness of feeling towards England increased. It is now that in the event of a European war," History has already recorded the fail England would at least be neutral. effectiveness will be principally due, as THE JEW IN GOVERNMENT. General Staff. The war was little more that she would declare war upon them.ganized in every dotail by the Govern ure of the plan which Moltke bad so long some even dreamed that England might aro singled out for special praise in the kept waiting in the pigeon-holes, of the be on their side. has been stated, to improved organisation,
They never imagined official bulletins. Everything is so or and in this particular it happens that
than two months old when inspired an- Germany had gone just about as far Edwin S, Montagu, the second son of the serious state of his health. Early in The recent appointment of the Hon.
The declaration of war was consquently ment in order to carry out its policy that nouncements began to be published about a great blow, though the phrase of the the public has no opportunity of acquir before the war as it was possible to go. There will, however, as in England, Lord Swaythling, the well-known head December, 1914, it became known that he
of King Bavaria So much the better; ing views of its own Popular condence Weather doubtless be a considerable increase in the of the Jewish banking firm of Samuel had been dismissed from his responsible quickly passed from mouth to mouth. accounts of things is still absolute.
the more enemies the greater honour" in official management and in the official average quality of the work perform Montagu & Co., London, recalls the fact post and succeeded by General von At the time I felt and I still believe, ed, due to the training of women and that English Jews within recent years Moltke was sent back to his old residence plainer, Gemany would have shrank
Falkenhayn,
This situation requires the careful at i hilberto unskilled men.
After a period of rest tust, had the attitude of England been tention of the Allies. There can be have taken a much larger share in the little doubt,, also, that Germany's in counsels of the nation than ever before. Staff-in charge, that is to say, of the that England would stand aloof ---- crease of manufacturing plants has not Lord Reading affords a striking illustra misior problems to be solved at home.
in Berlin as Deputy Chief of the Genera! from making war until she was quite sure been nearly so great as that of England, tion of rapid progress, and he is the first There he has died.--Times. To begin withy the former's munition English Jew to receive a viscounty.
Now nothing short of thorough mili- upply facilities were undoubtedly far
tary defeat will convince the German more nearly adequate than the latter's,
people that they can be beaten. Other- and when the experience of the war
wise there will be no peace except on proved the imperativo necessity
Germany's own terms, The people are speedily increasing these, the great numelection to the House of Commons. Sir of de Rothschild, was the first Jew to gain ber of German factories which had been George Jessel was the first Jow to be
like the inconvenience to which the war closed down when that country's export sworn of the Privy Council, to enter a
has put them. This is particularly true trado was cut off stood ready for conver British Government (as Solcitor Gen-
of States like Bavaria, where I speat sion. It was this circumstance, indeed, eral) or to be appointed a judge (Master
some time before leaving the country. If that made it possible for Germany to re of the Rolls). Lord Pirbright was the
the Bavarians could be given a smashing blow there might be a rapid end of the act to the unexpectedly great demand first Jew to a bold a non-legal office in coni International Marine Communica- they were at the beginning that their for shells more quickly than did France the Government, and Mr. Herbert tion Company (Limited), at the Hotel Generale and their soldiers cannot be war, but they are now as persuaded an and England, both of which countries, Samuel the first to enter the Cabinct. Cecil last month Mr. Godfrey Isacs, who defented. Even a Prussian defeat would. far from having any idle factories, were Sir Isaac Lyon Goldsmid was the first presided, said that Mr. Marconi had not make much impression in Bavaris un-|
fronted with a greater export demand than ever..
The first to be raised to the peerage (says a contemporary) was the late Lord Rothschild, whose father, Baron Lionel THE FOG DANGER AT SEA, prepared to suffer, much as they may dis
His son,
NEW MARCONI INVENTION TO
PREVENT COLLISIONS.
At the 16th general meeting of the Mar
Jaw to receive a baronetcy. All in all, therefore, there seems every Sir Francis Goldsmid, was the first Je
authorized him to say that in the very near future he would introduce, a new, reason to believe that both England and ish Queen's Counsel, and had previously independent, and very simple apparatus, Germany will have gained rather than been the first Jow to be called to the to be worked from the bridge of ship of the war, and that of the two England's of knighthood lived much carlier, for fog. There was little doubt that every lost industrial strength as a consequence Bar The first Jew to receive the honour by an officer, which should put an end to all danger of collision in darkness or position will have improved considerably this honour was conferred on Solomonsen-going vessel would be equipped with more than that of Germany.
Medina by Queen Anne.
this invention.
less the Bavarian armies were defeated at the same time, carefully the Berlin Government plays The Allies may not have noticed how
the Saxons, and then the Bavarians who upon the feelings of the various German tribes. To-day-it is the Pomeranian, to-morrow the Brandenburgers, next day
(Continued on next Column.)
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