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THE DIRECTORY AND CHRONICLE

1916.

FOR CHINA, JAPAN, COREA, INDO CHINA, BIAM, STRAITS BETTLE

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canta.

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-IN CAPELLES, IN WIE, AND BESTENF

THE HONGKONG DAILY PRES“, THURSDAY, MAY 4ɛn, 1916.

VISITORS AT HOTELS.

HONGRONG HOTEL Mrs Athel Anderson

and mid':

Mr. F. 3. Askurat Mr. B. L. Atkinson He H. Murray Ban Mr F R. Belilion Mr R. B. Be los Mr C. D. J. Ball Capt F. Bout Mr B, Bekton Hr R. J. Birbech Mr J J. lecker Capt B. Hranol Mr.J. F. Bagban Mr J.J. Horus Mr EU. Odboarne Mr 17. W- Chilakam⠀⠀⠀⠀ Mr JJ. Carey My (1 Champkin Mr T. P. Christopher Mr H. A Conant Mr N. Croucher Capt J. Dewar M&Ms F. E. Davis Mr3Mrs Dalbourgo. Mr J, Dower ope Mr E. 1. Dingle Miss M. E Daly Mr A. W.. EntAURATA - Mr J. E. Edwards Capt W. Ehrhardt Mr. W. Farler Mr. P. Killmo a Mies

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Mr.T. T. Gilmora Me Vondhonyn Mr & MrJ, Good Mr A. G. Hordon Mr & Mrs P. J. Gray Ar & Mn W. A.

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GERMANY'S "MAN POWER." are ubered cansecutively in Ausgahon,

CAN GO ON TO FEBRUARY, 1917.

A TIMES EXPERTS ESTIMATE.

Mr A. Shelton Hooper m. W. Herely. Mr J. Et

Ha

Bir Moph Mr K. Karryma Dr A T. Kuodorer Mr. Tanrition Mr C. Little Mr.& Longfield LJ. M. Laps Mr. Fys Casa A. Enn tigen S

aj. U BRODovald Dr de Men. Marriott Me & Mrs McLay Er B, K. Mehta Mr&M=H A, Meyor Dr G. W. McKean Mr. Mores al MrH G.L, Mill Mr Mrs C, F

Mianitt

Mr F. C. Mo gan Me 8. Mori He W. MoorO In R. Nah Dr. & Mrs Poses

child

Mr A. F. PAKer

fad

Mr A. B. Paddicomb

Mr R. Ray

Mr & Mrs. B. Shaw

M

Mr & Mrs 2, W.

Mrs M. Slade Mr W. H. Soith Mr A B Sorensen

Mr Y. Sorby MrJ. bfuker Mr H H H Taylor Mr ALT.dd Mr E M Toser Mr. Ms. Venturi

MNJ B.-

Wallace

Mr. W. P. Webb

8. P. White Mr. G. G. Wood Dr Mrs 8. C. Yis children int Governor

KING EDWARD HOTEL

Ales Russel. Aaxonad Mr G Bauüerging: Mrs Baralay Mr'a sien 'L. B. Chẳng. Mir G. Frits -air 1 ran' de Graaff

Mr T. N. Gregory Mr E Grove

97) die de Mrs Hüminosund

abildron

Mr J. Joh

A. Laubden Mine E & Immidina Fan W, D Lee Se

Mr H. Murphy

45 E C, Norrin e Mix Ol on and child Jar Cuffhaus

Mes W. G. Passmore Mr Paranaga Mr W. J. Fringis Mes &... A. Kamaly Mr J. F. Rola Mr G. E. Bigandson Dr & Mm 8. Samay

Me 2. H. Blowers Hies Square T

EM.Sigh. Mr G. Blackey Mr H. Thommen Mr & Ma♫♬

Underwood

MrA. U. Vernon on

HH Wyomalss

PEAK

HOTEL

Mr & Mr F. H. J.

de Adams and child Mr Bowdier

By

Até & Mes Cormichael

31c 2.W. Cazy :

air & Mrs V. D.

Caroli

ZEPPELINS IN STORM

CLOUDS

Or editions. The list for Prussia, Inclad- ing those of the minor States, and for Bavaria, Saxony, and Wuricuberg, hove tach their own number, byt all of them ap-FLYING ABOVE SNOW AND RAIN. pen together in the supple, exceedingly above

mentioned. These lists are.

voluminous Some lazy foreign correspon- The arrival of a Zeppelin during a snow- When a nation, no matter how later-dents add up the Prussian lists by ultiply storm, writes C. C. Grey, editor of dere- phined to persevers to the end in a great ing the number of pages which they fi.l by gline, las upset moro theories as to the war, finds that it is exhausting its supply the average number of naves in each page, capacities of these raiders, Brow his been of seen, and can no longer maintain its but this leads to considerable divergence regarded as the worst enemy of the Zep- grengths in the field againet, enemies more from the truth, since there are always long relin, in that an inch or two of snow on fortunately circumstanced, it is driven to lists of corrections.

the top of the ship would so weigh it down make pesce on the best fering that it can get..

A carefully compiled addition of thee that it would be forced to the ground. knowing that if it delays until strengths casualties gives the following tatas of This is wue of course, on the assumption 51 worn away it must accept any terins, killed dies, wounded, and misung reported that a Zeppelin commander is foolish no matter how onerous,

during-ench month-

The question of Germa

And Rumbers casualties hing therefore interested us all. deeply from the first. But few of us have been in accord on this subject, says the

August

1014

Total

0.213

September

125.423

October

279,787

November Descuber

238,286

201-012

Total

851-630

1915

Tota's

got

January February March

April

363,801 93.241 135-834- 135,302

May

107,034

June

July

182,786 159.97

August

September

October

November

December

Total

inca thilitary, expert. We are not all agreed about the number of men that Ger my can find to fight, and, we are even more divided about Gerzian losses.. The German have all the elements necessary for xact calculation, but we do not completely possing them. For the Germam it is problem df simple nithematics. It IR so for us. There is a wide margin for con jecture and supposition in our calculations. We find ourselves in the normal atmosphere of war, which is one of uncertainty, and we have to pick our way through the dim twilight as best we can. Hete come in temperament, prejudice, and partisanship. The wildest estimates are given without one of us being able explicity to contradict them,

For these reasong most of us have not been able to attach more than relative value to the figures presented to us. We think thai wo know the number of males of miji- lary age which Germany possessed at the outbreak of war. We can even approxi mately distribute then amongst the various traden, professiona, and occupations. But the maximum numbers which each trade can afford for purposes of way is a mutter of estimation for us: we are not quite sure how many mon have been taken above and beow the military ago; we are not sure how many Germans liable to serve wore abroad at the declaration of war and are still unable to return home, and, in fact, our basis of calculation is not as firm as we could wish. Then, though we have the Gorgian casually lists, which low people have seen, and fewer still understand, we are not positive that they are accurate, and in any case they do not tell us the tem porary and permanent losses, from sicknes, while the number of wounded who actually return to the fighting line is again a matter of conjecture. Thus we see that no one here can speak or cathedra on this subject and that the best estimate can only be an approximation to the truth.

1916,

146,199

170.081 184.909

· 190-802 06.435

1.730,$55

January 36,000 approximately

enough to fly into a snowstorm-which is rqt at all likely. As a matter of fact Sun- day (the day of a mid) was rather a good day for an airsh p raid. There was little wind, and what there was came from the north-cast. The German, had full inforpa tion for hours beforehand of any change in the weather coming from that quarter. Germany can obtain such information practically from the Arctic Circle to France, and eastward far into Russia and down to Constantinople. This is why rakla are always more, likely when the wind is anywhere between north-by-east and south- Cast: So far as the snowstorm was concern- ed this would not necessarily have much of any effect on the raiders' actors. It might, in fact, be an assouco. As I write there are snow-clouds hanging about and a small snow-shower has just falles. Judging the: height of those clouds by the habit of judging the heights of aeroplanes, none of them is more than a couple of thousand feet high at their lower surfaces, and the tops of the highest clouds seem to be at perhaps 5,000ft. In peace time I have known neroplane pilots go right through rainclouds and find themselves in bright This list shows & total of 3.027.085 casual sunlight, with a cloudkræs sky above them ties for the whole of Germany and for all on reaching 4,000ft to 5,000ft. It would fronts, from the first day of the way till the be perfectly simple for a Zeppelin to come end of January of this poor Mr. Tennant over at 8,000f5, or 7,000ft. weil above the gave the figures up to December 21st, 1816, snow-clouds. The starlight shining on the at 2,535,768, which is nearly the same allow-tops of the clouds would light them up and thy for the difference in istes, but the late the ground would probably be visible in Areso intricate and bulky that probably the clear spaces between the clouds, for in two calculations will be exactly in really cold weather there wou'd be no great. Mr. Tonne also showed that ground niist to confuse the view, and I of the total casualties, there were 588.966 know that ea a cear, starlight night every- killed, 24,060 died, 1.006,549 wounded, and thing on the ground is dearly visible from 350, la laissing and prisoners,

an aeroplane nt 5,000ft eo long as there Cau we trust there casualty lists Upang no-lights shining upwards to dazzle to a point we probably can. They are he observer. Failing adequate coastal de often belated, but so are durs, They con fence by guan, searchlights, and patrol tain any errors which are subsequently aeroplanes our best defence is plenty of rectified, but so do ours. They or con- tain the names of Hong men who have west wind, for then the Germans cannot of sickness, probably in the army zone, and and so are not likely to risk being taken by get their warnings of approaching weather amit Altogether, as do our, the names of men invalided, and the floating population

surprise of hospitals and signatoria. There are suive who distrust these lists profoundly, because dead found by us often ennagh he traced in the returns, and because the previously wounded amongst vor prisoners have an mention gametimes in the list. There

accurate

WAR AND CHILD LIFE.

LADY HELMSLEY'S VIEWS.

MAXIMUM NUMBER SAVAILABȚE When we endeavour to come to closer grips with this problem we naturally ask ourselves how many men Germany possessor fil to serve, and what proportion of men, in each of the grand divisions of occupa are the elements for a charge of wilful Lions, can be taken for the Army. We then deception, but on the whole, considering

that Gennary had a little over the immense difficulty of rendering

“Two babies did for every man kilal 13,000,000 men between the ages of 18 and statistics, the charge is not inde out. We in action. This is a statement made by An 35 when the war began, and we proceed to remember that whole unity occasional authority infant mortality. distribute these an best we can, accordingly disappear with their records, and that appalling fact at any time, with the seriCUS te the information at our disposal; for ex-in Germany gaps at the front are filed up wastage of adult life caused by the war an ample, something under two and a half in the quickest way, regardless of the ter- excessive infant mortality becomes, & prens- millious to agriculture the same number to ritorial system, and in a few case witbonting problem, Finining and metal working, and so on regard even to State 'imits,

Mariel, Viscountess Héline ey, who has through all the various trades, not forget-

worked steadily for many years to lessen Mating the railways, posts, and telegraphe,

the loss of infant life, whon, interviewed So far we are on fairly sure ground,AN

This figure of 2,687.085 casun ties for 18 on the subject and asked to say what mea But when it becomes a question how many months gives me monthly average of sures, in her opinion, would help to ready of these men can be taken from each grand nearly 146,000 casualties, but in order to this state of affaire, said to a Daily News division we are reduced to estimation. We arrive at the net waste we have to deduct repe

is no sudden remedy Women,

He & Mm Neil

Tayro Lot-Cu & das Nichol

Bo9,3 nurse and chikimu

Mr Y, Is Perkins

Mr & Mrs W. A. J. and ohi.d

Cooper

Mr

Mr Mrs W. E UL. B. E. Darling

Roberts and guild W. J. Dester

Mr G Skott Fuller

Mr&Mrt fmith Mr&Mraam Glo Mr & Mr A. Fi diay

Mr & Mrs B. A. Hvis Mr F. A Han-lund Ma 1. J. R. J. haa M-Loc Touss MeN. Lider Mr A. M. ortin

POLÍluon

Smith

Mr & Mrs Vivian Biadley Smith

Mrs A turke Sith Mr. Poullets oir MrWR Tiggart Maj. Ge.o al Velt es

MARTIN'S

APIOL ASTEEL EPILLS

محمة حسنطع

Zivenatide at Lindan alaraji kusy o has a MAM O JENE 2. the home, 205433 in 1000 lira

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THERAPION

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BLOGO KATSOK, KIRKET/BLADER. MEKAREN MOLÁRIK BIRGAZKIES, WIARNIA PRZENOMEND BLANT ADDRES ENVELOTE POR PREE BOOKLER:WÝ DR. LE CELEBR WED.CO.BAVESTOCK ER, KAMERU Jeong Ban -PARSE DEPOT LOIR, EDIE CASTIGLIONER TI

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NET PERMANENT LOSS

the wounded who retaro to the front, and

cannot allow much help to the German Army from the half million or more men to add the men invalided and the floating and man too, need to be better educated in employed upon railways, posts, and tele- population of hospital and sanatoria the wide sense of the word and to realise graphs, and so most of there people may Here again we are in the region of estimate their responsibilties. A great deal of at once be written off, useful though they and conjecture The Guruno Medical Ser- valuable work has been done in the past are at their own business to the Army. We vice bons that they return to the ranks and is still being done with the iden of probably should not take more than half very high parcentage of the wounded, saving the babies, That work must go the man who are employed upon industries cuising this figure in some cases to be 64 steadily on. But to educates people taken which support the railways and the tele per cent, but asuredly many of these are many years." graphs, whie from miners, metal workers, only fit for service in the interior at the the textile trades, leather workers, and probest, and it is probably fair to suppose that vision merchants we should be genomous if 25 per cent. of the wounded, are permanent we attributed to the Ariny much over 60 ly out of action —

per cent of this whole. 3 rum agriculture If we astume that 50 per cent of the

Lady Hehmalay considered the schools for others do much needed work, although there is the danger always presunt in such enterprises of pauperising the women. The day nurseries also filled a need and excel-

we might expect from 70 to 80 per cent. whole muiatry of wounded return to the lent work was being done in other direc of the hands to be withdrawn, and perhaps front, we have to reclus the total casualtions

to make

the figure may be higher on account of ticus by 790.000, and the monthly net wast "I have two suggestions

which the prisoners employed in the fields and the extension of female labour. From the 148,000 to 102.000. To this figure I should like to see put inte practice im building, quarrying, and allied trades we men, the number of whom way amount to

we have per contro to add the invalided mediately the wron

That married women who work in fae- might Base that over 75 per cent. may 35,000 a month, or may be more or less; tories should not be allowed to do heavy drawn, sang Sgure is fair anda hay, to bear in mind the floating work, our should be provided

That a day-nursery

for the fishermen, for men of independent, mens, and for the very poor. On this population of the sick in hospitals, whica

may be 130,000 or again more or less. A factories where a considerable number estination we arrive at the figure of a little things considers, the net permanent lons of of married women are employed. over 9,000,000 as the maximum number the German Army during the past 18

The young children could then accom which can be called up, but we have to add months of war may be approximately pany the noters, when they to this number each yearly claw an excitated at 2,27,095 (etal be left, safely in chargo, of the num after- reaches the age of 18, and such men over 700.000 wounded returned to the front, and danis in the nursery and properly, fed the age of 15 as are either called upon or plus 630.000 invalided, and 130,000 sick in and cared for during their mothers' ab- retained with the colours, The latter hospitals, or on the whole estimate a netence, category may provide 300,000 men of those Joag of nearly 2.600.000 in round figures, and sometimes merged into Sconce ruled in Before the war extravagance, which not yet called

bu, they would have little an average monthly loss of a little over up, military value. As for the young co 141.000 men. These are at all events the all classes. The way and the necessity for fingents, the class of 1917, les volunteers, minimum losses, and if we care to make a living on less money will inaugurate an- gives about 350,000 men at the depots, while moderate addition for cissions and errors other era. If we are to be a ruling nation the class of 1918, when called up, will be we can approximately place the monthly and bring our children up as good citizens shopt the same. These young contingents casualties at 150.000 and the total net lassen we must teach the mothers of today and mentioned. Are included in thas 9,000,000 men shove at 2,700,000 out of action for good, the gifler al that they can learn shent and boug WIEN WILL DRAPIN VALLeeping words on this sub Now if we add 3,600,000 of the fed My ne "on this subject act, There are si present some 170 Geman armies to the 2.700.000 of the casualties we use all the machinery that is available and dipinions in the field. These, with the have the figure of 6,300,000, which we must increase the number of labourers in the osvalry, army troops, and an unusually deduct from the 9,000,000 representing the fed of service to less fortunate women. high proportion of artillery and technical maximum number available for service. But this is a part of the work; also services, have a normal establishment of This gives us 2,700,000 men still available each women not to be afraid of mother- 3,600,000 or thereabouts when units are up in reserve and in Germany. Not all these hood. And let the women here go to the in strength. This has rarely boog the case can be added to the arming in the field, for colonice and marry.” in the past except at the opening of the there are lines of communication to be war, and we have usually found German guarded, the count and noutral froniters companies to average 175 men instead of be watched, garrisoni to be found, prisoners

250.

THE FIRED, ARMY.

Bare of

But recently companies. 300 strong to be guarded, and all sorts of other der February, 1917, and only after that slalə have been reported in the West, and it is vices be performed. But, even if we add will begin to foll away. Finally, if we always best to assume that strengtha are 300,000 for men over 45, and leave 400,000 dispose of do more Germans per mouth complete so as to spare ourselves disappoint in the interior, we must in prudence admit that we did during the oath which ha ments. We can take 3.600,000 ar, approxi that there may still be 2,000,000 men liable speed namely, 36,000--there is no partie mately the aggregate establishment, a all to be brought forward to reinforce the cular reason, on the basis of numbers events, of the German Armies,

armies in the field, and that the strength alone, why we should set There are many ways of estimating and of these armies will not begin to fall until tops upon the war any partenar checking the German casualties. There the supply is exhausted.

If we insist upon fighting Turk and are estimates made by Allied commanders When will this mouent come! The Bulgnes and what not, instead of Ger in the field, which are, to pat it midy answer is that it depends entirely upon the mans, we make a great mistake. We have rarely under the mark There is the rate of culties which in its turu depends unly one enemy that counte, and whose fall analogy of the losses of the Allies, and there upon the efforts of the Allies. Last spring will bring his conferleralen down with bins, are statistics scattered through German we had a French semi-official statement, that We should, therefore, concentrate upon him, Parish Magazines and the reports of the German reserves would be exhausted act against him offensively with all our Frades Union and other societies. Lastly in 1015, but this statement was based upon might recall all unless detachments, liqui there are the German official casualty re-the rate of German losses in 1914, and this date all foolish adventures which waste our suras, which, on the whole, though not rate has not been maintained. If the Ger- armies while capsing the Germans no Jose, entirely to be trusted, are worthy of man lose 220,000 men a morth in the months and act defensively with the least, posible respect. Concerning these lists there has ahead of us they will exhaust their power numbers in every theatre other thuz the been a great deal of unnecessary ignorance of reinforcement by September next, but principal. This should be the cardinal plan and mystification. They are published in if the rate of loss 18 150000 a month, then of the war, and victory is rared if it is the Rotschanzeiger or Official Gazette, and obviously the field armies can go on till phrined relentlessly.

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