1956-01-07 — Page 7

THE CHINA- MAIL; SATURDAY, JANUARY 7, 1956.

MY 10 PREDICTIONS FOR 1956

Eisenhower to run

1

and win EISENHOWER wŊŊ} stand for a second term. He will be returned by a vote for his larger than

even

first term.

My reasons: The Presi-

dent's impressive recovery

by Sefton Delmer

TURKEY

SRATES

EUM

LIBYA

EGYPT

500

How will the coming year colour world politics? Where do we find the pointers His goodwill be something the to the things that will blow up big before the next twelve months pass? A famous

from his heart attack; the foreign affairs commentator makes his forecast.....

without an anti-British or unti- Fib

uxe in their diplomate

theory managers--the new elits In Russia-have to reckon with.

Moscow to

Woo

the Vatican

9

A CLIMAX will be reached towards the end of the or in the secret East-West conflict within the Innermost cells of the Vatican.

On the

Page 6▼

THE TENSIONS IN EASTERN GERMANY

WHAT MR MOLOTOV HAS FORGOTTEN

W

By Julius Gould

the East

the four unions, which are merely coga acilona, the move

was only moderately successful,

In May, the authorities con- fiscated for two consecutive the "right to strike" weeks coples of the

papers the Union Statutes-de- "The Church" and "The Pots

Bill dam spite the fact that it is

Church" which had "gurruntced"

East argued that slate schools were German Constitution,

seed-beds of atheism, and had

in

the

con-

to com-

HEN

Foreign Ministers in the state machine.

last summer Only met at Geneva in German Trade Union Congress the autumn of 1955 deleted Mr Molotov talked

con- from tinually about the "Hocial uchlevements" of the East German state. Free elec- Vost differentials separate demanded the right of tions throughout Germany the fow shock

objection workers, who scientious would, he said. have a net the pace, from the mass of pulsory military service. "mechanical"

low-pold workers whose labour result they

At Halle, in February 1835, is squeezed from them.

a spokesman gave the

party would

jeopardise these

lino on tolerance to a student The tensions set up by this achievements.

system have produced not

conference. He denounced 11 as Mr Molotov

"destructive" idea which had was evading society of equals, but sharp the facts, for he is

In power and prie roots in the desire not to well differences

Two vilege,

cause poin to others in fear of aware that the East Ger-

suffering the ane thing man Communist regime is 30 unpopular with the people that pro-

Comm

Tunisia as

target area

new

เร่ง

m

the In Southeast

The US will be placed in un For have been looking into They the ignominious collapse of the

the predicamenl. awkward

headed Venture Formosa tu fall Saviet

Group In Neutralist

by PAISL permit

Archbishop old social reforming int Communi! hands any more American-lype

economic TRIS

#Tord to give up the We can

$30,000,000

of Milan, and Papal Soviet credit Montini,

Secretary Monsignor base in Cyprus

Kranted to the anti-American Staty Government of General Peron in Dell'Aqua they demand that the Argentine back in 1953.

Vatican should The

keep "an equal distance from Moscow and from Washington."

onc

side

advice given him by heart specialist Dr Paul White that it does patients good 10 return to harness the luggage. emotional effect

on Eisen- hower of the consternation caused not only in the 6.S. but throughout the Western world by the prospect of his withdrawal from the White House; his immense sense of duty,

A soldier does not quit.

As for the vote, opinion polis show Eisenhower with 21 11 80 percent popularity lead over all other camli-

dates.

Policy-makers

attention!

-ייזון

5

IN AFRICA, Mediterranenti, Agu, tire anti-Western, ¥atatz colonialist campaign wall duce fresh waves of them and inter-communi tois

I uder will become. The voice In America demanding that Unele Sam should

Peauce his overxienave foreign comjult. ments and send UNO packing.

New tactics at

World Bank

With its $130 million project for S.vio.-Argeatine trade and is other details in sumazingly love in type to the agreements «fered by Bulganin and Krush- chev on their recent tour.

Maybe Saviet Russia fur THE WORLD BANK in pritieel reasons will make Washington, which bus huliverta bigger effort in Asin 10 live up granted kans un advice with to 14% pisinises, all the care and paternalism of -hd-fashioned family #Abund

7

A special by Tunisia

new turgel arva will Here agreement be een tv French Government

Habib Jugula. and

the Tutosion Nationalist leader, created an aves of peaceful and onderly collaboration

An

י ::

It is capable of very ing pinalerakink

for Bie example hole Arab Nuth Afri

agitators apvinson ed and Moscow will do

2

TWO

1922k jag

Western

Folientiist by t'am

mccupations

My bellef, however,

£1

On the other is the American group had by Monsig- nor Tardini, anther Papal Slate recretary, and the highly in Auential Archbishop Samore, a close

the American friend of Cardinal Spellman.

Moscow

will intensify its

diplomatic underground paign almod

establishing at formal relations with the Vatican in return for Soviet toleration and non-persecution of the Roman Catholic Church in the any Sovjet world, with its 35,000,000

flock

that,

ц-

banker, will Ruffer trust under Cammilted as they are at home

the blackmail of the Suviet's and in China, the Soviet new voor), 121|4) and diplomacy.

They will allow dictator Nasser ly have his £25,000,000 worth

I dollars from the bank for the new Aswan High Dam arigation scheme without, for instance,

tween the Sultan and Egypt we the sharing of Nily watris.

policy-makers daring 1954 the be4 to upset this Tunisi insisting on par agreement be-

will be:--

(a) The

which

turning

ruudity with The Savart DE BOW university

Bul

graduates in scieties and

Pressure on U.S. to

6

leave UNO

Washington will

8

thorities better

just

can't

They will let down the gullible them, Nehru a he deals will just its tiny let down the much more hard-headed Peron.

Man to watch in the Kremin hierarchy during 1936 is good- Booking Ivan Serov, the chief of the Soviet regret police,

Serv with them They took on their recent tour of india, unci Afghanistan. 13. IN BURMA Premier Und K. wanted young Serov to round while they were away home that they could be

regret Burne,

Nu, just recoveting Hoin the Bulgonia-Krusbeliev visit, will is and the World Bank experts fr sev in their consider a from rehabditation projets than they previ aisly looked like

THE AMERICANS 12 47 engineering 1,200,000 in for busty chock Frost thes the 10 years from 1960 to Bur-pean allies und from UNO 1960 is the American Intelli. mi 1958. gence estimate of Russian

In Greer the elections will graduates as aguunist 900,- protuce a swing to thy neutralt a 000 only

the same eft West Germany will

212 - period in the United States, And incomparably fewer, of course, in Britain.

(b) The

over

Fast. A delegations of West Ge- more and mee openly with the being.

sure what he was up to.

For Secoy is important Bl only as

chet of the recoil- tuled and reformed secret police apparatus. He is more importan! I mediet my banker fend in will beenuse man MPs will visit Red China.

as boss of the Washingtomi will regret the phona and forced labour compas UNO will shrek. the US. by haste in meeting the Bulganin he rules over the largest slice "rouble insistin s the admission of bogey m paying this Atro-Russla's scarcest commodity diplomary" of economic aid Red Chine in the autumn,

114-15

offers with which Moscow is trying to outbid the United

States in Asin at the very moment when the American administrators want to draw

111

their horns

uni

economise on foreign aid.

predict that of the two

the threat from the army of robol scientists will turn out to be the graver,

More

for Pay

Teachers will be one of the first de- casions inevitably.

For the F. O.

3

an axe

I PREDICT an en-

Aston blackmail

tekday-manpower.

Arms:

10

cam-

Germany still awake WESTERN Germany will startle the arms world by abowing that her inventors and

technicians are well on the way to catching up the rest of the

in the field Western world

of guided missiles.

elec-

free elections would sweep it away. To call such a result "mechan!. cal" is not helpful. Mr Molotov is also well aware of the large number of East Germans who have no wish to share in the "social achievements" he claimed

for the Communist Grote- wohl Government.

Wils

Q

years ago the

Jallum Gould, Lecturer O Bociology

the London School of Economici, has contributed numerous articles 10 periodicals on political and trade union queations. Ile had 瘫 nendemic career scholar

distinguished and Was A of Balliol College,

before

becoming at versity College,

Oxford,

Assistant-Lecturer

gollen.

Uni-

Loodon.

self." Tolerance, he added, was poll "in which opposition and unscientifle Ideas grow."

These views satisfied Hitler

would have and Himmler

as much as they please Ulbricht may make good sense to the Nazi or Communist functionary,

but

And Grotewohl. They

they make nonsense of educa- Ujori Lon as distinct from indoctrina- tion. Certainly such intellectual rubbish

cares

of

called

cannot bo cumulative strain led to rioting "social achievement." throughout the country-acts I doubt whether Mr Molotov of desperate defiance

really us naive as he pretended which i

He have for c be. Even while he spoke the Mr Molotov cannot

remarkably number of refugees

The tensions of 1983 Intle, I should think, for the any are still there and may crupt "social achievements" rising. Young people were once more. For it may truly bo of the countries the Russians Aeeing from conscription said that

He is mainly the urban workers control or bully, nothing

concerned to buttress Jose into the army-a resurgence have

German

but the myth power, and there is nothing in nothing, that is, militarism

the "spirit of Geneva" that can thetr ย

"ecial achievements." dictated by Moscow. Others,

curb this concern. Like all the other Communist

taik his All

about social young and old alike,

were regimes, the Grotewohi govern- achievements, like his anger of escaping from a threatened ment is fighting hard to control Western "aggressiveness." is an food crisis.

men's minds, its main targets elaborate cover for deeper, more

of

Soviet

Weapon which will be talked of most is an an-tank rocket.

For the supply of basic foots being the churches, the youth secret fears. He knows that Instead of being guided

and the univer- the East Germans were given a tronically by radar it is steered has been cut as much by state organisations

sities. mismanagement as by the flow

chance to throw off their by a thin line of coble puld out

of refugees like an old-fashioned harpoon,

from rural areas. To take but a few examples. shackles, other nations would The missile can be operated

The pullook for the urbon In the spring of 1955 the dollow sult, or at least try to do by one man-another advantage worker is equally bleak.

អ

His regime revived the programme over other weapons of this lind. living standards are far below of secular confirmation services

ing inanced by

children prewar level, he is progressive- for

of It is being multi-million-ly exploited

appropriate voler an German

by the constant ages, This was designed

to ments" revision of wage norms, and he clash with the Christian Easter were at stake last autumn

Geneva. guided receives no help from his trade but, thanks to sharp church re- missile yet. A taxpayer's dream,

aire, Friedrich Flick.

It is the cheapest

(COPYRIGHT)

the

60.

Stalin's

gaine In Eastern Europe, not the "social achieve- of Eastern Germany,

(COPYRIGHZ)

MLLE FRANCOISE SAGAN Let yourself GO!

CHOOSES LOVE AGAIN

FISHING?

'WAR? FARMING?

DO

NOT KNOW THESE THINGS

NOR 11 storm-centre Mile, Francoise Sagan is very quiet indeed.

couraging victory for the She barely protests when

campaign against Whitehali inaccuracies, exaggerations in that most and shocked exclamations

waste-and unexpected quarter. Foreign Office.

the clash over her head,

"They say I have made out of Tristesse? are kind to be tight-fisted Treasury optimistic for me. It is no officials, will tour the world more than £20,000."

Teams of F.0. inspectors, $50,000

accompanied by hard-headed They

and

slushing the expenditure of

All these

SU

Cynicism. Immorality. our embassies: axing super- | Precocity. fluous offices and super-been fired at her. fluous officials,

L

it

have

know

**I really don't be why," she says mildly.

This is not, however, meekness.

Everything will examined

# "Is necessary? Is it worth it?" basis, from diplomatie cock- tail parties to telephone bills and the output of individual typists.

When I met her I was suddenly reminded of a fox I once met in a wood. The

Most heavily slashed will fox gave me a cool stare,

Francoise Sagan (left) receiving a gift of flowers on her arrival in London from Nancy Spain, author of thrillars and book reviewer. (Seo Pago 14: Nancy Spain on Books),

be the cultural side of summed me up as nothing not have fixed morals, They She has none of the secret British diplomatic activities, to be afraid of and with a think the wicked always have excitement about money that casual dismissal walked to be punished and the good illumines most success. "Three I venture this prophecy quietly away.

always have to be made happy. hundred pounds," she will say

"But this is not true,"

flatly of her panther-akin cont because of the discoveries

How-and this is the ques- The first 2500 that her book made by the Treasury men

tion most asked about her-does carned for her she lent to who are now investigating

a girl so young "Jenow whether friend. this is true or not? the embassy in Born these lines. Their success is bound to set up similar in quiries in other embassies.

un

AT 15, A WOMAN

"One thousand pounds,” she will reply when asked how much

article.

In the country in the middle of France Mile, Sagan had a pet sheep, "very stupid," a pet nanny goal, "very intelligent," cats and dogs and polnes.

In England this background would have produced debutante.

ឆ

in France it produces shrewd, sagacious ittle blue-stockings with a passion for jazz,

"I perfectionated my jive in Harlem," says Mile, Sagon, who went last year to America,

"I went every night to the Savoy Ballroom, which is the most fantastic place I have ever Six thousand coloured seen, men with beautiful bright shirts dancing. We were the only white people and we danced from 11 till six. I didn't know I could dance so much, but in New York there is something tonic In the air,”

The "perfectionated" jive was begun four years ago in that rather misunderstood region of Paris St Germain des Pres. "People think that Sartre is a man who does be-bop. He is a great writer.”

in

HER NIGHT BOX

I

In St Cemmin at four o'clock the morning Milc. Sagon usually winds up her little day, dancing in a "night box"-her rather literal translation of "boite de nuit."

Then

black back in her Jaguar convertible (she has al- ready had four accidents) to her home.

1

With her fox-brown eyes, She shrugs with the im- pointed face and alim feet, little patience and perplexity of all she gets in America for an remainder of the morning before Miss Bugan is always casually teenagers who cannot get it over walking away from secusations, to their elders that they have challengers and people who just the same powers of ob- will talk about her first book, servation and deduction us they "Bonjour Tristemo,"

have themselves.

A switch in emphasis 4

"I am absolutely not interest- "A girl of fifteen is a woman. MOSCOW'S anti ed in this book. It is terrible Why are people so slow at re- colonialist campaign in to speak about it. It is ended cognising this?" which race hate and colour for me, I do not like it at all." hate have been substituted Now that it has been com- for the old Marxist classmitted into the unholy hands of hate will reach a new high Hollywood (Mlle. Bagan and her on the Kremlin's No. 1 publisher will get three percent sounding board the United of the takings) It is of even less or fishing or farming, could I? Nations in New York.

Now aged 20 and fivo months, Mile, Bagan writes of love again in her next book.

couldn't write about war,

These are just dead numerals, Money has no breathless fascina- tion for her.

She sleeps Inte and spends the

Junch *answering the tele phone." Afternoons sho friends or writes. Evenings she dances. Mille, Sagan also writes lyrics to musle by her friends.

has She to modify her tempo when aho dances to her own songs "Lost Day" and With out Loving You," now becoming top hits-which are “very senil- mental and gente!

Her family background both loving and luxurious.

"My father has a factory for making metal crucibles outside Puris. He is tall,, grey and a little fat. Not specially hand- some. And he is mild.

Somehow she also managed to My mother s charming, very road four or five books a week. amusing and amart."

· And once every two, guars or Her childhood was spent six so-aho will write a book, 1 don't know these things, months in

their largo apart!NTREPRE Every little girl knows about ment near the Madeleine and She knows that her next book "All the characters will be, love it is only her capacity to six months in the country. "In (still untitled) will be given To the ranks of the UNO anti-married and they will all have stuff or because of it that a small house with a large harsh scrutiny, No. Loppies pro- colonial brigado. 12. vociferous bables, I suppose,'*

fected by a shiring precostly she #273 Miss inerekses,” now recruits have beers added. Sagan, showing a fine French

will have to meet new semisa Liönä and eriffcelerat, ya Only four of the 10 countries contempt for happy endings. elected to UNO under the recent "In America, and England Luacicage deal between the Soviet they cannot underkana, At bloc and the West will arrivelyou can be a good person and

interest.

park."

By ANNE SHARPLEY

*

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