1938-11-07 — Page 10

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Hong Kong, Monday, November 7, 1938

BRITAIN IN THE AIR

1

1

can

prove that had war come France, Britain, Czecho-Slova- kin and Russia would have surpassed Germany and Italy in first-line 'planes, in total number of 'planes, in current production, and in ultimate rate. of production, and have had parity in number of mod- ern 'planes. These results he obtained by counting only half Russia's strength. But if Russia and Czecho-Slovakia be left out of account-a necessary assumption in view of Mr. Chamberlain's policy-we get a very different result. The ratio of first-line 'planes (in- cluding reserves) is Germany 250, Italy 100, Britain 120, France 100.

In pro duction for the current year M. Cot's ratios are (to France's 100) Germany 800, Italy 150, Britain 150. These figures are sufficiently striking, but there seems reason to doubt whether they do not put France in too favourable a light, at any rate in comparison with Britain. Germany's rate of production is commonly estimated at something up to 600 'planes a month; the British output may be 300 a month (Mr. J. M. Spaight's guess in his "Air Power in the Next War") or 400 a month (Lieutenant Com- mander Fletcher's guess in the new "Penguin Special," "The Air Defence of Britain"). France has been supposed to have something over 200. Act- ually, according to recent re- ports from Paris, it may not be more than 50. Estimates such as these

only be taken in the roughest way, but they do suggest the weakness of France in the air arm, whatever may be the magnificent strength of her Army, and, hardly less, our conjoint weakness as against 2 German-Italian combina- tion. Britain is making rapid progress (although the French have yet to begin) in increas- ing production; next year we may hope to reach Germany's present rate of output. But, giving Sir, Kingsley Wood every credit for his speeding- up efforts, the disparity is dangerous, and soothing syrup of the kind administered in some of his speeches (and still more by Sir Thomas Inskip) is an insult to the intelligence. In Russia, they would be shot for sabotage! With our re- sources we can do enormously better and must, for as Hitler continually reminds us Ger- many is not slackening. It is also evident that in the air race the major burden will fall on Britain, and that whatever our ultimate potentiality of production may be Germany has a long start. It is some consolation to know that all present figures are far below those at the Armistice, when our output had risen to 3,500 aeroplanes and 4,000 engines a month. (This was to maintain a first-line establishment of only 3,300, machines) Yetit would appear that only by cast- ing: our ideas of air strength in a vastly more heroic mould than anything the Govern ment has so far planned can we hope¬to give ourselves the security we need either to save our own; sking in Japlation or to join with others in assert- ing the rule oʻglaw against the domination of fores. The BOUN- en we sccept: the implications of this the better; they are pretty

It was a notable feature of last week's debates on Britain's de- fences or lack of them in efficient form-that' while the - Labour Party remained frank- ly suspicious of increased ar- maments without assurances as to what they might be used for, sank objection 'sufficiently to demand the shake-up which alone can provide the remedy. Their attitude, of course, is strictly logical. The more scep- tical we may be about Mr. Chamberlain's hopes of main- taining a tolerable European | peace by conciliating the dicta- tors, the more ass

assertive we must be of the need for pre- paredness. The hard fact is that with the present distri- bution of European armaments France and Britain have be- come highly vulnerable, and no foreign policy can put them out of danger without a great national effort. The crisis re- vealed "deficiencies” at a large number of points, but what has struck the ordinary man most is the weakness in the air and the almost incredible fact that France is weaker in her air defence than Britain. The elementary character of France's A.R.P. is notorious, even In comparison with our own. But what was hardly rea- lised until the disclosures of the last few weeks was the manner in which the French Air Force had slipped back. M. Pierre Cot, who was Air hit Ister in the Blum Governme sought to put the beat face it by a series of calculations

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