1938-09-01 — Page 10

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THE CHINA MAIL, SEPTEMBER 1, 1938.

The China Mail

Ninety-Third Year of Publication

8A Wyndham Street, Hong Kong, Telephone. 20022

London Office:

7, Garrick Street, London,

Notice To Contributors.

All communications intended for publication should be addressed to the Editor, and be accompanied by

י

con-

Moscow has in mind, and the Japanese suspect it, then they must réalise to-day that their aim of bringing the Chiang Kai- shek regime to its knees is more difficult that ever. Not only is China's resistance likely to be stronger, and the defenders of Hankow more confident, after the Soviet demonstration, but the Japanese commanders' fidence is likely to be affected in to the growing W.c2direct_ratio

strength of Sino-Soviet co-opera- tion. Shrewd neutral commen- tators are inclined to think that the threatened Japanese invar sion of South China may now off: the be definitely called

shown Changkufeng clash has mitting herself to a further the inadvisability of Japan com-

tensive, and by no means promis- ing, venture in China,, requiring huge forces, when she may need them at some unexpected moment for her own defence. It looks as if there is a gradual change com-" ing over the Sino-Japanese war, and that the trend is more fav- it has ourable to China than been since the commencement of hostilities just over a year ago. Even the guerilla troops are bet- ter organised, more daring, and more successful. The spirit of to the people in China appears be as strongly in favour of re- sistance as ever, and the heşit-

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Hong Kong, Thursday, Sept. 1, 1938. ant elements on the home front

HOW BLOWS THE

WIND?

seem to be receding into the [background. The policy of fight- ing to the last ditch gains ad- ditional adherents, and morale a remains high. It needed but small demonstration such as oc- curred at Changkufeng to en- courage the waverers.

.

Although it is still rather ear- ly to attempt to predict the out-

Meanwhile, there are other de- come of the fighting near Han-monstrations, this time in Europe kow, it is patent to close observ- and there is a peculiar connec- tion between the tension among ers of the situation that there has European countries and the Far been a distinct change in the out-Eastern situation. When it seem- look during the past few weeks. ed that the Manchukuo border In some respects this has been clash would develop into war, Japan sounded her allies of the so subtle that it may have escap-Anti-Comintern Pact, and seems ed the notice of the casual ob-to have received rather cold server, but latest messages from comfort, both Italy and Germany being cautious about committing Chinese as well as Japanese themselves. It may be the rea- [sources indicate that a definite lisation that little actual military change in complex has occurred or naval aid could be expected on both sides. The Japanese are from that quarter, which in- not quite so optimistic that Sov-fluenced the Japanese to recede iet-Manchukuo border trouble is from their original terms for a off their hands as they were a settlement of the incident at It may be that few weeks ago, probably with Changkufeng.

representations from good reason. Cautious commenta-secret tors were from the outset disin-France, or even Britain, induced clined to believe that an armistice Stalin to hold his hand, and agree would see an end to the trouble, to an armistice. To put it and it may be that within a few bluntly, the hour had not yet last weeks this gloomy view of things struck. But within the will be borneTM out.

seems week much has happened, cal largely a matter of psychology culated to make the world situa. added to expediency with the tion again fraught with sinister Soviet forces now confident that possibilities. One of the most they can check any Japanese at-disturbing events of the present tempt to invade Siberia, and the time is the large-scale, German people in Russia aroused into the mobilisation, ostensibly merely a belief that Japan intends to act vast military exercise, but un- aggressively against Soviet ter-doubtedly not carried out for ritory, Stalin and his military ad- this harmless purpose alone. It visers may find it feasible to aid coincides with a threatened the Chinese by a continuous cam-breakdown of the efforts to set- paign of pripricks along the tle the Czech-Sudeten imbroglio; Manchukuo border, even at the and there is also disquieting news risk of a real war. That, as we of deadlock in the Italo-British had occasion to suggest when understanding on Spanish ques- the Changkufeng affair was in tions. There are marked signs its infancy, may be the actual of a stiffening in the British at- Soviet plan. Perhaps Japan titude towards Italy, and towards thinks so also, and she may have events in the Far East, where secret information which will Britain's rights are increasingly make her expect a strong threat threatened. This less complaisant from Russia at any moment. It attitude is discernible, în fact, in nees Nerves may be that the Soviet will hold several other countries. off from a large-scale attack so are getting on. edge, and China long as Hankow remains in may shortly and the Invasion of Chinese hands, or so long as her territory checked, or even China can in other ways keep called off, due to greater events her end up. If that is the plan elsewhere.

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It

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