00362
TOE SECRET.
except CHINA is likely to
KONG. The U.S. S. R., and
106 sure of support in any
j.
isposal are estimated to
ent a fighting force but
on of Japanese and other
ed there is no immediate
ack by sea would be limited nterdict small ship trade.
agreed that the maximam
75,000 fighting troops. resent day Chinese armies the Americans. CHINA
5,000 of these better class 11 equipped with infantry
y is not of a high standard, ormations and air support
►
CHINA has available 400
aro being added Japanese
atitios. Sovere
perational use by poor
i air crews and lack of
ler these conditions air
ald not be sustained but
The danger of mining
ral Government is to recover
y has boon maintained since
rincipal threat to the Colony.
for CHINA has already been
red that this campaign wi11.
1 Government as a natural
ie the Colony to redress the
собую
00363
SCTION 1.1.
HONG KONG DITENCE PLAN
POSSIBLE FONES OF ATTACK OPEN TO THE ERY.
TOP SECRET
(A) Diroot assault by had on the Frontier of the New Territories.
(ઘ)
light air raids on the civil population, Port or Military installations.
(c)
Hit raids by sc cutlying villages etc. pimacy on lol sing.
coupled with
()
N
(E)
N
THE NATIONAL ARCHIVES
(#)
infiltre ion of large ambers of agents into the Chinese population to organua civil unrest and boycott, also to carry out atiac on the Suropean population, essential norvices, military installations and blooking roads, etc.
Entorruption of Food and other supplies to the Colony from Cain, to lend might to the political campaign for roud.ery of HIGHG HOG.
Ja on the Golm of a Guoril1. Army us the result of internal unrest cr civil war in China.
PRODIBLE FOPL. OF ATRAUKL
O all forms of attack (D) above is the most likely and at then time in the .1ost difficult to nect. Treation with China
prayer contre of the moremont af hinese to and from the Colony and
at the present acment entries into ONG KONG 0xaed dopartures by about 3,000 Chinese per month. Before the war figures of half a million per month to and from the Colony wore recorded,
2.
Even if treaty rights gave control of inmigration it would still bo difficult with the British Forces availablo to control the entrics of agorts as large mumbers could be landed by sampan while smallor numbers would cross the frontier on foot. Similarly arms up to and including light machine guns and small mortars can be amuggled into the Jolony in large cuaitities. Further, this form of attack is in keeping with the Chinese character and history.
3.
Attack (A) and (B) are only likely in the future if open hostilities break out with the Central Government, as their armies are the only forces well equipped with modern arms, including aircraft and transport. These weapons would not in all probability be available to a Provincial War Lord, should one rise in Southern China to challonge the rule of Chiang Kai Shek.
J.
Attack (C) is a possibility in a small scale at any time,
if only conducted by Chinuse pirate gangs in search of loot. However, in the event of (D), (E) or (A) occurring a mmber of attacks of this naturo should be expected.
Ref:
CO 537/1260
Please note that this copy is supplied subject to the National Archives' terma
a and that your use of it may be subject to copyright
restrictions. Further information is given in the enclosed Terms and Conditions of supply of National Archives' leaflet.
Rel
CO 537/1260
THE NATIONAL ARCHIVES
N
that is further formation is given in the enclosed Terms and Conditions of supply of National Archives' leaflat. subject to the National Archives' terms and conditions and that your use of it may be subject to copyright
restrictions. Further in
7
No comments yet.
Private notes are available after approval.