2

WEDNESDAY, MAY 11, 1994

EFFECTIVE

AGAINST THIS BACKGROUND, ANY CAPITAL GAINS TAX WOULD HAVE TO BE SUFFICIENTLY PUNITIVE IN ORDER TO PROVIDE DETERRENT AGAINST PROPERTY SPECULATION.

UNDERMINE

AN

ADDITIONAL BUT A PUNITIVE CAPITAL GAINS AND OVERSEAS TAX WOULD SEND A STRONG NEGATIVE SIGNAL TO BOTH LOCAL INVESTORS ACROSS THE BOARD. THE PROSPECT OF HAVING THE TAX AS A BAND- AID SOLUTION TO ADDRESS A TEMPORARY PROBLEM WOULD SERIOUSLY TWO MUCH-VAUNTED PRINCIPLES OF OUR TAXATION SYSTEM

TWICE INVESTORS WOULD THINK ITS PREDICTABILITY. CAPITAL TO HONG KONG ONCE WE GOT A REPUTATION FOR INTRODUCING STOP-GAP THEM WHEN FISCAL MEASURES TO TACKLE SOCIAL PROBLEMS, AND ABOLISHING THE NEED FOR THEM WENT AWAY OR POLITICAL WHIMS TURNED AGAINST THEM,

DR

ITS STABILITY AND ABOUT COMMITTING

ECONOMICS,

IN

HAVE PRICES. PROPERTY

INFORMATION THE AN ARTICLE DEPARTMENT OF HONG KONG AND

UNIVERSITY

COMMENTED HUANG

THAT A FEW DEVELOPED COUNTRIES INTRODUCED CAPITAL GAINS TAX TO CURB A SHARP RISE IN HE MENTIONED JAPAN, IN PARTICULAR. ACCORDING TO MY EFFECT. CAPITAL GAINS TAX HAS CAUSED DEVASTATING WRITTEN BY PROFESSOR KEITH MCKINNELL, THE HEAD OF THE THE DEPARTMENT

IN THE UNIVERSITY OF OF SURVEYING

OF PROFESSOR

MIYAU, TAKAHIRO

PROFESSOR OF

AND I CHUBUKA IN JAPAN, THEY WROTE AN ARTICLE EXACTLY A MONTH AGO,

TO DISCOURAGE 1991, CAPITAL GAINS TAX WAS RAISED SHARPLY

LAND NATIONAL CUMULATING IN 1992 WITH A PROPERTY TRANSACTION,

THESE MEASURES HOLDING TAX,

THE SO CALLED LAND VALUE TAX IN JAPAN.

ONCE BOOMING TO STIFLE JAPAN'S WERE

PROPERTY SUFFICIENTLY STRONG MARKET. BUT THEY DID MUCH MORE THAN THAT IN THAT THE WORSE DAMAGE FELT ON A BALANCED SHEET OF MOST FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AND CORPORATIONS. THIS POLICY INDUCED COLLAPSE OF THE PROPERTY MARKET THEREFORE SEVERELY AFFECTED THE OVERALL ECONOMY, LEADING TO THE RECESSION IN JAPAN'S POST-WAR HISTORY.

QUOTE "IN

11

NEW

BUSINESS

WAS

HAS

WORSE

REACTION OF THE MARKET

ADVANCE THE MUCH AS WE WISH, IT IS NOT POSSIBLE TO GAUGE IN

MARKET ECONOMY IN A FREE

LIKE REACTION OF THE MARKET TO THE TAX.

AN IMBALANCE IN OURS, THE STEEP RISE IN PROPERTY PRICES REFLECTS

HAS BEEN SUPPLY AND DEMAND, IN ADDITION TO INVESTMENT DEMAND WHICH

INFLUX BUOYED UP IN RECENT MONTHS BY LOCAL INVESTMENT CAPITAL AND THE

FROM ASPIRING HOME- OF FOREIGN FUNDS, THERE IS A SUSTAINED DEMAND

COMBINATION OWNERS LOCALLY. THIS END-USER DEMAND HAS EMERGED FROM A

A

IN

AND INCLUDING

HOUSEHOLD NUMBERS OF FACTORS,

STEADY GROWTH

LOW INTEREST HOUSEHOLD INCOME, ASPIRATIONS FOR HOME OWNERSHIP AND A RATE RELATIVE TO INFLATION.

FOR

THE

HAD

THE

DEMAND FOR NEW PRIVATE AN EARLIER STUDY REVEALS THAT THE RESIDENTIAL FLATS IS MORE SENSITIVE TO THE HOUSEHOLD INCOMB THAN,

SO IF WE DID NOT GET INSTANCE, THE MORTGAGE RATE OR FLAT PRICES. TAX RATE RIGHT AND ASSUMING THAT SUPPLY REMAINED TIGHT BEFORE WE AN EXPANDED HOUSING SUPPLY, WE MIGHT END UP PUSHING PRICES UP AS BURDEN OF THE NEW TAX WAS PASSED ONTO END-USERS.

/FURTHERMORE, A

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