Enclo. No. 2.
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Manchuria, and I enclose a very interesting
memorandum, prepared by the Honourable
Dr. R. H. Kotewall, C.M.G., member of the Legislative Council of this Colony, giving the
gist of a conversation, which he had with
General Ch'an Kwing-ming on the 25th March.
You will remember that it was General Ch'an Kwing-
ming who, in August, 1922, drove Dr. Sun Yat-sen
out of Kwangtung, and that he was himself in turn
driven out of Kwangtung by Marshal Chiang Kai-shek.
He is not likely, therefore, to have any
sympathy with the Nationalist party in general or
with Marshal Chiang in particular.
Nevertheless,
his explanation of the course of events during
this year seems to be highly probable, and it is
interesting to note his prophecy that Marshal
Chiang Kai-shek is likely to be eliminated from
the political arena before this year is out; and
that Marshal Feng Yu-hsiang will not throw the
whole of his weight on the side of the Kwangsi
party, but will, as in the past, pursue the
policy of sitting on the fence, allowing the
Nanking and Kwangsi warlords to enfeeble each
other by fighting, and then coming in to impose
himself on China as supreme warlord.
will also notice that, in the opinion of General Ch'an Kwing-ming, Marshal Fêng, if he comes into power, will gather round him for his
political work "the Leftists who are as good as
Communists", and that the "Red" Russians will
then come into their own again in China.
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You
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