4.

5.

6.

7.

58

advanced age could not be cured. The prevailing theory

has led to the formation of various schemes of registration

and the suggestion of lengthy time limits for the abolition

of Government Opium Monopolies.

7 Arguments for the maintenance of Monopolies hitherto, have been based almost entirely on two grounds

(e) Finance and

(6) Humanity,

i

and stress has been laid on the latter, it being argued

that the suffering of the addict deprived of Opium must

be tenderly considered. This argument will cease to be

effective if the theory mentioned above comes into general

acceptance.

The Hong Kong Government has stated that finance shall

not stand in the way of abolition, and arguments based

on the calls of humanity are likely to be proved invalid

in the near future. There therefore remains no argument

for the maintenance of the Opium Monopoly beyond the time

required to find some means of replacing the abandoned

umre of revenue.

The meaning of the telegram is not quite clear, but it is presumed that the purchase of Persian Opium

to replace the decreasing supplies sent by India will

also be vetoed. In any case the sale of a blend of Indian

and a large proportion of Persian Opium would be

unsuccessful at the present price of 14.50 per tael,

the blend being only a little superior to that on the contraband market costing only a quarter the price.

Supplies from India are decreasing at the rate of some

20 chests a year which means that after six years the from India ill be so small that it will not be worth- supplies while from a commercial point of view to maintain

any longer the Monopoly with its numerous staff.

> It would be quite feasible to abolish the Monopð þy

completely in 5 or 6 years, a period which would allow ample time to find new sources of revenue. Admittedly

the

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